The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 46.2%
Draw 29.1%
Renofa Yamaguchi 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
28.2%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
27.3%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 3. Kamiyama K. 33. Ogawa S. 22. Yuba K. 2. Matsumoto N. 6. Sakurai T. 7. Sakamoto K. 18. Hyon R. 77. Slivka V. 88. Shiohama R.
21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 38. Tadokoro R. 5. Yoshioka K. 3. Oiwa K. 22. Okuyama Y. 6. Wakasa Y. 7. Misawa N. 17. Tanabe K. 8. Noyori K. 4. Nakashima K. 11. Fujioka K.
Substitutes
26. Ando T. 76. Isotani S. 47. Izawa R. 1. Izumori R. (G) 41. Matsuoka H. 15. Sakai N. 14. Sakaiya K. 29. Tanaka Y. 20. Toyoda A.
99. Endo M. (G) 81. Kimura Y. 28. Kobayashi S. 49. Mineda Y. 27. Mizuguchi H. 40. Naruoka H. 2. Ozawa R. 20. Suenaga T. 19. Yamamoto S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Matsumoto N. ⚽,
57', Noyori K. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
57', Fujioka K. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Nakashima K. ⚽, Tadokoro R. (A),
71', Hyon R. ↓, Izawa R. ↑,
71', Shiohama R. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
72', Tadokoro R. ↓, Mineda Y. ↑,
72', Okuyama Y. ↓, Suenaga T. ↑,
81', Slivka V. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
86', Sakai N. 🟨,
86', Sakurai T. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
86', Sakamoto K. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
87', Tanabe K. ↓, Ozawa R. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Matsumoto N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Nakashima K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sakai N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Wakasa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nagasawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kobayashi S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Toyoda A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Suenaga T. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Yuba K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Misawa N. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Sakaiya K. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Yamamoto S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))
Tosu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Renofa Yamaguchi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Tosu could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
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Matsubara S. (G) 
Slivka V. 
Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 
