Match Info

RUSSIA: RUSSIAN CUP - REGIONS PATH - FINAL

Date: 16 November 2022, Wednesday


	KAMAZ		Zvezda St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.55	3.25
	1.92	3.6	3.28
	2.06	4.05	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.45)	3.73 ↓ (4.18)	3.28 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAMAZ
47%

Draw
24.8%

Zvezda St. Petersburg
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

20.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KAMAZ's form might have worsened.

Zvezda St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zvezda St. Petersburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KAMAZ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zvezda St. Petersburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

KAMAZ - Zvezda St. Petersburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. KAMAZ will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zvezda SP will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

KAMAZ is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zvezda St. Petersburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

KAMAZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match KAMAZ is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
13.11.22	SKA Khabarovsk - KAMAZ	3:1 ✺
06.11.22	KAMAZ - Arsenal Tula	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
01.11.22	KAMAZ - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL
29.10.22	KAMAZ - Ufa	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Shinnik - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWTL
- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
13.11.22	Baltika 2 - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:1 ✺
09.11.22	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Yadro St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Electron Velikiy Novgorod	5:0 ✺
Russian Cup
02.11.22	Rodina Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:4 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
24.10.22	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Zenit 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW

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