Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 15

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Kalisz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	KKS Kalisz		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.82
	3.55	3.55	1.87	Watch
	3.62	3.6	1.95
	3.62	3.6	1.96	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.54	3.48	1.89
	3.55	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.49)	3.54 ↑ (3.33)	1.88 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
25.7%

Draw
25.8%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.4%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26.3%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krakowiak M. (G) 8. Andruszko M. 6. Cierpka A. 3. Gawlik M. 10. Gordillo N. 35. Kieliba B. (C) 7. Kusinski P. 16. Putno B. 42. Smolinski W. 5. Staszak J. 15. Staszak W.	1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.
Substitutes
23. Bialczyk M. 19. Chacinski M. 12. Ciolek M. (G) 70. Debinski A. 71. Koczy K. 22. Maroszek W. 17. Mocny P. 21. Szymanski M. 77. Toporkiewicz K.	19. Bahonko E. 26. Cierpial J. 11. Dziegielewski D. 80. Glacel M. (G) . Gulczynski G. 4. Korczakowski I. 17. Niewiadomski J. 6. Skowronski G. . Urbanski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Lis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Toporkiewicz K. 🟨,
54', 🟨,
54', Kieliba B. 🟨,
62', Odolak K. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
62', Niski N. ↓, Bahonko E. ↑,
66', Staszak J. ↓, Koczy K. ↑,
66', Staszak W. ↓, Szymanski M. ↑,
68', Maroszek W. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
76', 🟥,
83', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Apolinarski J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
20.10.24	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	KKS Kalisz - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Polonia Bytom - KKS Kalisz	3:0 ✺
27.09.24	ŁKS Łódź II - KKS Kalisz	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLTW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
23.10.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:6 ✺
06.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
14.05.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - KKS Kalisz	0:2
06.11.21	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:0

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