Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 13

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	4	3.9	1.62
	4.2	3.9	1.65
	4.26	4.15	1.68
	4.31	4.06	1.7	Watch
	4	3.9	1.6
	4.21	3.94	1.65
	4.2	3.9	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↓ (4.41)	3.96 ↓ (3.98)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
21.8%

Draw
23%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

23%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.4%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zagłębie 2 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buric J. (G) 8. Adamczyk H. 20. Dziewiatowski M. (C) 11. Kolan J. 7. Kolanko K. 3. Kopacz B. 4. Lepczynski K. 21. Regula M. 2. Sochan K. 6. Terlecki K. 9. Wozniak A.	1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 4. Korczakowski I. 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.
Substitutes
16. Antkiewicz F. 12. Bieszczad K. (G) 14. Dorozko J. 5. Ede 17. Gregorski D. 10. Kruszelnicki P. 13. Lipp M. 15. Loboda J. 22. Nowogonski K.	19. Bahonko E. 26. Cierpial J. 11. Dziegielewski D. 80. Glacel M. (G) . Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 17. Niewiadomski J. 6. Skowronski G. . Urbanski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kopacz B. ↓, Ede ↑,
46', Adamczyk H. ↓, Kruszelnicki P. ↑,
46', Regula M. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
49', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Odolak K. ⚽,
69', Kolanko K. ↓, Dorozko J. ↑,
72', Dorozko J. 🟨,
84', 0 - 2, Dziegielewski D. ⚽,

Preview

Zagłębie 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zagłębie 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zagłębie 2 have a series of guest games.

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
19.10.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
20.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:6 ✺
06.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWTW

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