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Current Win Probability
KV Mechelen 31.6%
Draw 27.3%
Sint-Truidense 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.6%
26.8%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
26.9%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
KV Mechelen - Sint Truidense Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 20. Corbanie K. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 3. Marsa J. 23. Michez S. 6. Hammar F. (C) 30. Decherf M. 7. Koudou T. 14. Raman B. 9. van Brederode M. 28. Boersma B.
16. Kokubo L. (G) 60. Vanwesemael R. 4. Takai K. 5. Taniguchi S. (C) 3. Hata T. 14. Merlen R. 8. Sissako A. 38. Matsuzawa K. 71. Araki R. 10. Sebaoui I. 9. Bazdar S.
Substitutes
29. Antonio B. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 4. Diouf G. 10. Kireev M. 19. Lohunanu-Mbasi M. 2. Marijnissen L. 21. Ozdemir H. 26. Praet D. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G) 17. Van Meirvenne C.
77. Diouf O. 18. Ishiwatari N. 22. Janssens W. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 11. Mbuku N. 26. Musliu V. 35. Ngoy Y. (G) 23. Pupe J. 99. Shinkawa S. 19. Soelle F.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.
De Meyer F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
5', Takai K. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Takai K. (Own goal),
34', 2 - 0, Michez S. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Taniguchi S. (Own goal),
42', Matsuzawa K. 🟨,
44', 3 - 1, Bazdar S. ⚽, Merlen R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Matsuzawa K. ↓, Ishiwatari N. ↑,
46', Araki R. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
49', 3 - 2, Sebaoui I. ⚽,
53', Decherf M. 🟨,
62', 4 - 2, Raman B. ⚽, Corbanie K. (A),
63', Raman B. ↓, Van Meirvenne C. ↑,
67', Bazdar S. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
67', Merlen R. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
71', 4 - 3, Soelle F. ⚽,
81', Boersma B. ↓, Lohunanu-Mbasi M. ↑,
81', Koudou T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
81', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Marijnissen L. ↑,
81', Decherf M. ↓, Praet D. ↑,
84', Ishiwatari N. 🟨,
88', Taniguchi S. 🟨,
90+5', Hammar F. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Challenger Pro League and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 0.
Mechelen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sint-Truidense has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sint-Truidense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sint-Truidense holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Mechelen: Ayodele S.
(Knee Injury)
Hjelde L. F.
(Leg Injury)
Salifou D.
(Knee Injury)
St. Jago T.
(Muscle Injury)
Struyf I.
(Muscle Injury)
Vanrafelghem K.
(Ankle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sint-Truidense: Muja A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Soelle F.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mechelen has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:34 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mechelen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 11:16 goals (averaging 1.1:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
St. Truiden
9
2
2
5
17:19
-2
8
15
KV Mechelen
8
1
3
4
9:17
-8
6
Last Results with these Odds
KV Mechelen - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.64%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Belgium
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Miras N. (G) 
Corbanie K. 
Eerdhuijzen M. 
Michez S. 
Hammar F. (C) 
Decherf M. 
Kokubo L. (G) 
Sissako A. 
Sebaoui I. 
Bazdar S. 
Antonio B. 
Diouf G. 
Kireev M. 
Ozdemir H. 
Mbuku N. 
Musliu V. 
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