Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	KV Mechelen		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.40	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.60	2.10
	3.00	3.55	2.18
	3.39	3.60	2.22
	3.26	3.43	2.19	Watch
	3.30	3.30	2.17
	3.24	3.74	2.13
	3.05	3.50	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
29.6%

Draw
26.8%

Sint-Truidense
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.8%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.1%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

KV Mechelen - Sint Truidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Challenger Pro League and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Mechelen (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Sint-Truidense have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sint-Truidense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sint-Truidense is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mechelen has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:34 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mechelen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 11:16 goals (averaging 1.1:1.6 per game).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

St. Truiden: 1.03% KV Mechelen: 0.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12:12	0	8
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

KV Mechelen - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.64%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Club Friendly
03.10.26	KV Mechelen - Karpaty Lviv	2:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.09.26	Lommel - KV Mechelen	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLT
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.09.26	Sint-Truidense - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Beveren - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière	4:0 ✺
02.09.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Royal Antwerp - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.05.26	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	3:0
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4
21.12.25	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	1:0
04.10.25	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:3
21.02.25	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:1
08.11.24	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	2:1
12.05.24	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	2:1

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