Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)


	KV Mechelen		Oostende

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.85	3.9	4.1
	1.77	4.1	4.2
	1.84	3.7	3.75
	1.87	3.92	4.08
	1.75	3.75	4.33
	1.81	3.92	3.94	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	3.85 ↓ (3.88)	4.01 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
51.8%

Draw
24.6%

Oostende
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

KV Mechelen - Oostende Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Oostende will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League).

Mechelen has the most likely position - 13 (21.54%), has project points - 37, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oostende has the most likely position - 17 (21.15%), has project points - 31, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, importance 52, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 3.

Recent matches Mechelen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oostende has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mechelen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mechelen is a favorite.

There will not play in Mechelen: Vanlerberghe J. (Heart Problems)

There will not play in Oostende: D'Haese R. (Red Card) Hornby F. (Shoulder Injury) McGeehan C. (Ankle Injury) Urhoghide O. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Mechelen: Bolingoli B. (Muscle Injury) Falchou R. (Surgery) Ngoy J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Oostende: Katelaris F. (Heel Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Cup
11.01.23	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.01.23	Zulte Waregem - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
23.12.22	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
20.12.22	KV Mechelen - Seraing	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Espanyol - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWT
- KV Oostende
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.01.23	Oostende - Seraing	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Saint-Gilloise - Oostende	3:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
20.12.22	Saint-Gilloise - Oostende	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Feyenoord - Oostende	2:0 ✺
07.12.22	Oostende - Lille	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.07.22	Oostende - KV Mechelen	2:1
12.02.22	KV Mechelen - Oostende	3:0
29.10.21	Oostende - KV Mechelen	2:4
19.05.21	Oostende - KV Mechelen	2:2
09.05.21	KV Mechelen - Oostende	5:3
27.02.21	Oostende - KV Mechelen	2:0
12.09.20	KV Mechelen - Oostende	0:1

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