Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 14 December 2022, Wednesday


	Espanyol		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.8	3.9
	1.7	3.8	4.15
	1.8	3.55	3.8
	1.72	3.76	4.2
	1.67	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.94	4.4	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.02)	3.75 ↑ (3.44)	4.13 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
53.4%

Draw
24.4%

KV Mechelen
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espanyol's performance.

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KV Mechelen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espanyol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KV Mechelen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Espanyol - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Espanyol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mechelen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mechelen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Espanyol will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Espanyol - Torino	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Rincón - Espanyol	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.22	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Mallorca - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTT
- KV Mechelen
Club Friendly
04.12.22	NAC Breda - KV Mechelen	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.11.22	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	KV Mechelen awarded ✺
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Lokeren - KV Mechelen	0:5 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.11.22	KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
28.10.22	Genk - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 W?WTL

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