Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza


	KV Mechelen		Zulte Waregem

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.3	3.5	2.92	Watch
	2.38	3.54	3.02
	2.43	3.49	2.82	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.44	3.6	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.04)	3.48 ↓ (3.66)	2.89 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
40.3%

Draw
27%

Zulte Waregem
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KV Mechelen's form might have worsened.

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zulte Waregem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KV Mechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zulte Waregem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	4%	12%

KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mechelen (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KV Mechelen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 2. Halhal R. 8. Konate M. 33. St. Jago T. 7. Koudou T. 19. Mrabti K. 6. Hammar F. (C) 17. Servais M. 27. Vanrafelghem K. 9. van Brederode M. 28. Boersma B.	13. Gabriel B. (G) 45. De Jaegere B. 5. Kiilerich J. 31. Willen L. 19. Nyssen B. 10. Erenbjerg J. (C) 40. Asare D. 8. Claes T. 17. Soglo E. 18. Ementa A. 22. Opoku J.
Substitutes
38. Antonio B. 12. Bande H. 39. Decoene M. 10. Kireev M. 3. Marsa J. 21. Ozdemir H. 14. Raman B. 29. Salifou D. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G)	39. Ake M. 1. Bostyn L. (G) 55. Cappelle Y. 11. Gavriel S. 6. Lofolomo E. 30. Mbaye M. 12. Paugain W. 3. Tanghe A. 9. Vossen J.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.	Vandenbroeck S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Halhal R. ⚽, St. Jago T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Nyssen B. 🟨,
64', Vanrafelghem K. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
64', Koudou T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
67', Nyssen B. ↓, Ake M. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Erenbjerg J. ⚽, Opoku J. (A),
77', Boersma B. 🟨,
85', van Brederode M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
85', Servais M. ↓, Salifou D. ↑,
88', Erenbjerg J. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Raman B. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.

Mechelen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Waregem is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mechelen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knee Injury) Diouf G. (Inactive) Golic L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Waregem: Lemoine L. (Surgery) Mituljikic N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Waregem: Panduro T. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Waregem	8	3	2	3	10:9	1	11
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.02.26	RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	KV Mechelen - Genk	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTT
- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.02.26	Zulte Waregem - Anderlecht	2:4 ✺
15.02.26	Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Zulte Waregem - Westerlo	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Club Brugge - Zulte Waregem	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.07.25	Zulte Waregem - KV Mechelen	1:1
Belgian Cup
28.02.23	KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem	1:0
02.02.23	Zulte Waregem - KV Mechelen	1:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.01.23	Zulte Waregem - KV Mechelen	2:0
05.11.22	KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem	2:2
18.12.21	Zulte Waregem - KV Mechelen	3:2
23.10.21	KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem	2:2

Upcoming Matches