Match Info

J3 League - Round 16

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kagoshima United		Vanraure Hachinohe

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.18	3.15	3	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.15
				Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.21	3.36	3.15	Watch
	2.18	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)	3.16 ↑ (3.09)	3.07 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
41.5%

Draw
28.8%

Vanraure Hachinohe
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Vanraure Hachinohe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (-2%)

Kagoshima United - Vanraure Hachinohe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanraure (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Vanraure (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Vanraure (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Vanraure (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Vanraure (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Vanraure (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Vanraure (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanraure (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fujishima E. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 21. Soma J. 7. Chibu K. 3. Sugii H. 14. Yoshio K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 6. Watanabe E. 11. Fukuda M. 18. Kawamura K. 92. Nduka C.	13. Onishi S. (G) 22. Shirai T. 20. Minoda K. 11. Yukie H. 6. Doi K. 8. Otoizumi S. 7. Sato A. 80. Nagata K. 5. Inazumi D. 99. Nakano S. 9. Sawakami R.
Substitutes
20. Endo M. 8. Fujimura K. 19. Inaba S. 26. Kawashima K. 31. Kumakura T. (G) 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 10. Take S. 73. Tanaka T. 36. Yonezawa R.	15. Hayami S. 30. Inami Y. 16. Kaburaki M. 27. Kokubun M. 14. Senoo N. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 47. Wakizaka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Fukuda M. ⚽, Yoshio K. (A),
27', Nduka C. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Sawakami R. ⚽, Inazumi D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
64', Nakano S. ↓, Senoo N. ↑,
76', Nagata K. ↓, Wakizaka R. ↑,
76', Kawamura K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
76', Nduka C. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
82', Sato A. ↓, Kaburaki M. ↑,
82', Kaburaki M. 🟨,
84', Yoshio K. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
86', Wakizaka R. 🟨,
89', Kaburaki M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 2.

Kagoshima United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vanraure is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kagoshima United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kagoshima United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
07.06.25	Kagoshima United - Gifu	3:2 ✺
31.05.25	Osaka - Kagoshima United	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Imabari - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Kagoshima United - Fukushima United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW
- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J3 League
08.06.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
15.10.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kagoshima United	2:1
10.06.23	Kagoshima United - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1
23.07.22	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kagoshima United	0:1
20.03.22	Kagoshima United - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:1
07.11.21	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kagoshima United	1:1
19.06.21	Kagoshima United - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:0
25.10.20	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kagoshima United	1:0

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