The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montedio Yamagata 42.2%
Draw 27.6%
Kagoshima United 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
25.8%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
25.7%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montedio Yamagata's form might have worsened.
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kagoshima United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montedio Yamagata: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
TQ, OT - Montedio Yamagata (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montedio Yamagata will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Montedio Yamagata (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Terakado R. (G) 5. Abe T. 90. Disaro A. S. 42. Issaka Z. 8. Konishi Y. 71. Nakamura R. 4. Nishimura K. 14. Sakamoto K. 22. Shirowa H. 7. Takae L. 9. Takahashi J.
31. Kumakura T. (G) 20. Endo M. 8. Fujimura K. 15. Ihori K. 19. Inaba S. 26. Kawashima K. 23. Kojima R. 13. Kondo Y. 29. Okazaki M. 73. Tanaka T. 36. Yonezawa R.
Substitutes
88. Doi S. 11. Fujimoto Y. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 55. Horikane S. 15. Kawai A. 10. Kida R. 25. Kokubu S. 18. Minami S. 2. Yoshida T.
11. Fukuda M. 37. Kinoshita K. 34. Maruyama T. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 10. Take S. 48. Tanida S. 16. Yamauchi K. (G) 14. Yoshio K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sakamoto K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Yonezawa R. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Fujimoto Y. ⚽,
Preview
Recent form of Montedio Yamagata has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kagoshima United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Kagoshima United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Montedio Yamagata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Watch
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Terakado R. (G) 
Rodrigo Angelotti 
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