Match Info

J3 League - Round 14

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Prifoods Stadium (Hachinohe)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vanraure Hachinohe		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.27	3	3.05
	2.33	3.25	3.12
	2.35	3.08	3.18	Watch
	2.2	3	3
	2.25	3.04	3.08	Watch
	2.27	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.97)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.05 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanraure Hachinohe
40.3%

Draw
29.8%

Matsumoto Yamaga
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

28.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanraure Hachinohe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vanraure Hachinohe's form might have worsened.

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vanraure Hachinohe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vanraure will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Onishi S. (G) 22. Shirai T. 20. Minoda K. 11. Yukie H. 8. Otoizumi S. 6. Doi K. 5. Inazumi D. 7. Sato A. 80. Nagata K. 9. Sawakami R. 99. Nakano S.	1. Ouchi I. (G) 19. Sugita H. 27. Ninomiya J. 36. Matsumura G. 24. Ogawa D. 46. Yasunaga R. 13. Ishiyama A. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 10. Kikui Y. 42. Tanaka S.
Substitutes
30. Inami Y. 16. Kaburaki M. 19. Kato S. 27. Kokubun M. 18. Pedersen J. 14. Senoo N. 26. Takahashi K. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 47. Wakizaka R.	11. Asakawa H. 34. Inafuku T. 35. Kanda S. (G) 30. Kokubu R. 29. Lucas Vargas 16. Miyabe T. 44. Nonomura T. 23. Taki Y. 17. Yamamoto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Sato A. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Nakano S. ⚽,
33', Nakano S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matsumura G. ↓, Lucas Vargas ↑,
48', Kikui Y. 🟨,
61', Higuchi D. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
65', Sugita H. 🟨,
69', Nakano S. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
71', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
85', Sawakami R. ↓, Pedersen J. ↑,
85', Sato A. ↓, Kaburaki M. ↑,
85', Nagata K. ↓, Senoo N. ↑,
89', Ogawa D. ↓, Miyabe T. ↑,
89', Yasunaga R. ↓, Kokubu R. ↑,
90+5', Inazumi D. ↓, Kokubun M. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vanraure won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Vanraure may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Matsumoto Yamaga has had a series of home games.

Vanraure might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vanraure won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vanraure won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
14.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro	2:2 ✺
07.05.25	Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.07.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
03.05.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2
30.09.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2
22.07.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	3:0
31.07.22	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1
02.07.22	Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1
Japan Emperors Cup
03.07.19	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:3

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