Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 14

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Referee: Tanaka R. (Jpn)


	Kagoshima United		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.8	3.25	2.4	Watch
	3.16	3.07	2.52
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	2.92	3.28	2.32	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.38 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
32.2%

Draw
29%

Vegalta Sendai
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

28.4%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Vegalta Sendai have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Kagoshima United - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Sendai will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sendai: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 14. Nodake H. 28. Tone I. 23. Okamoto S. 3. Toyama R. 8. Fujimura K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 11. Goryo J. 25. Hanato J. 18. Fukuda M. 92. Nduka C.	33. Hayashi A. (G) 2. Takada R. 22. Koide Y. 5. Sugata M. 39. Ishio R. 27. Onaiwu G. 6. Matsui R. 17. Kudo A. 24. Myogan T. 28. Sugawara R. 7. Nakajima M.
Substitutes
7. Chibu K. 17. Hoshi K. 5. Ibayashi A. 65. Nishido H. 31. Ono C. (G) 34. Suzuki S. 21. Tanaka W.	20. Chinen T. 11. Goke Y. 25. Mase T. 37. Nagasawa K. 9. Nakayama M. 1. Obata Y. (G) 14. Sagara R.
Coaches
Oshima Y.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Sugawara R. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Takada R. ⚽, Sugata M. (A),
32', Tone I. 🟨,
38', Yamaguchi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Onaiwu G. ↓, Goke Y. ↑,
46', Goryo J. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
55', Hanato J. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
57', Sugawara R. ↓, Nakayama M. ↑,
57', Myogan T. ↓, Sagara R. ↑,
66', Kudo A. ↓, Nagasawa K. ↑,
66', Nodake H. ↓, Hoshi K. ↑,
66', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Tanaka W. ↑,
79', Fujimura K. ↓, Chibu K. ↑,
85', Nakajima M. ↓, Mase T. ↑,
90+5', Matsui R. 🟨,
90+5', Mase T. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Kagoshima United	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Kagoshima United - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Kagoshima United - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
13.04.24	Ehime - Kagoshima United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLT
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Vegalta Sendai - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Vegalta Sendai - JEF United Chiba	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vegalta Sendai	3:2 ✺
13.04.24	Vegalta Sendai - Montedio Yamagata	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Fujieda MYFC - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWT

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