Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Referee: Ueda M. (Jpn)


	Kagoshima United		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.2	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.27	3.26	2.24
	3.27	3.26	2.21
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.22	3.35	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
29.4%

Draw
28.3%

Tokyo Verdy
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.5%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Tokyo Verdy have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Kagoshima United - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokyo Verdy will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 17. Hoshi K. 5. Ibayashi A. 4. Hirose K. 29. Kojima R. 30. Kimura Y. 7. Chibu K. 39. Kawabe S. 15. Ihori K. 20. Endo M. 9. Arita K.	21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 13. Yamakoshi K. 15. Chida K. 25. Yamada Y. 26. Hakamata Y. 33. Matsuhashi Y. 32. Yamamoto J. 23. Tsunashima Y. 14. Tiago Alves 29. Furukawa M. 27. Yamada G.
Substitutes
18. Fukuda M. 35. Nakahara S. 92. Nduka C. 65. Nishido H. 14. Nodake H. 31. Ono C. (G) 28. Tone I. 3. Toyama R. 27. Yamaguchi T.	40. Arai Y. 34. Kawamura G. 19. Kawamura K. 16. Kawamura T. 28. Meshino S. 24. Nagai S. 31. Sato H. (G)
Coaches
Oshima Y.	Jofuku H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Hoshi K. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Yamamoto J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ibayashi A. ↓, Tone I. ↑,
46', Chida K. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
55', Tiago Alves ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
59', Endo M. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
64', Meshino S. 🟨,
65', Furukawa M. ↓, Kawamura K. ↑,
68', Kimura Y. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
75', Kawabe S. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
75', Arita K. ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
75', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
75', Yamamoto J. ↓, Kawamura T. ↑,
77', Tsunashima Y. 🟨,
90+4', Nagasawa Y. 🟨,

Preview

Kagoshima United is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Tokyo Verdy have a series of home games.

Tokyo Verdy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
13.04.24	Ehime - Kagoshima United	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Kagoshima United - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Mito HollyHock - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Kagoshima United - Yokohama FC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.08.19	Tokyo Verdy - Kagoshima United	3:3
09.06.19	Kagoshima United - Tokyo Verdy	3:1

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