Match Info

Date: 25 November 2021, Thursday


	Kairat		Basel

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.75
	3.75	3.9	1.8
	4.3	3.85	1.8
	3.95	3.7	1.8
	4.3	3.9	1.83
	4.2	3.4	1.78
	4.05	3.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (4.07)	3.81 ↑ (3.67)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
22.9%

Draw
24.7%

Basel
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.4%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

16.3%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kairat have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kairat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kairat - Basel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Kairat has currently - 1, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a chance of 3rd (30%), has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

Basel has currently - 8, has a chance of 1st (42%), has a good chance of 2nd (58%), has not chance of 3rd, has a good chance of round of 16 (63%), has a chance of qtrs (23%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Kairat is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Basel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kairat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Basel is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kairat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Cup
20.11.21	Kairat - Astana	3:0 ✺
07.11.21	Astana - Kairat	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.11.21	Kairat - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
30.10.21	Zhetysu - Kairat	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
27.10.21	Kaisar - Kairat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLTW
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
07.11.21	Basel - St. Gallen	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.11.21	Omonia - Basel	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
30.10.21	Zürich - Basel	3:3 ✺
Swiss Cup
27.10.21	Étoile Carouge - Basel	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
24.10.21	Basel - Lugano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
30.09.21	Basel - Kairat	4:2

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