Match Info

Swiss Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Fontenette (Carouge)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Étoile Carouge		Basel

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.3
	7.5	5.15	1.33
	7.9	5.37	1.32
	8.46	4.95	1.33	Watch
	8.05	5.25	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.08 ↑ (7.04)	5.14 ↑ (4.9)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
11.5%

Draw
18.1%

Basel
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

18.6%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

17.8%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Étoile Carouge - Basel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antonio S. (G) 22. Rufli V. 20. Walker M. 14. Zrankeon G. 23. Philippin R. 88. Essiena Avang L. 6. El Jaouhari M. 8. Ricardo Alves 17. Sene O. 76. Itaitinga 77. Escorza T.	13. Salvi M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 32. Adjetey J. 3. Vouilloz N. 29. Cisse M. 21. Salah I. 22. Leroy L. 8. Koindredi K. 7. Otele P. 23. Ajeti Al. (C) 39. Junior Ze
Substitutes
44. Atangana B. E. (G) 12. Boulkous N. 33. Bua K. 25. Felder V. 11. Hysenaj F. 5. Maouche Y. 29. Sestito L. 4. Strohbach I. 9. Traore B.	9. Agbonifo J. 26. Barisic A. 17. Broschinski M. 24. Daniliuc F. 1. Hitz M. (G) 5. Metinho 31. Schmid D. 10. Shaqiri X. 19. Soticek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Essiena Avang L. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Essiena Avang L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ajeti Al. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
60', Zrankeon G. 🟨,
61', Leroy L. ↓, Shaqiri X. ↑,
61', Cisse M. ↓, Schmid D. ↑,
64', Shaqiri X. (Pen),
68', El Jaouhari M. 🟨,
74', Salah I. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
75', Essiena Avang L. 🟨,
84', El Jaouhari M. ↓, Bua K. ↑,
84', Escorza T. ↓, Felder V. ↑,
88', Antonio S. 🟨,
89', Ricardo Alves ↓, Hysenaj F. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Agbonifo J. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
98', Rufli V. ↓, Boulkous N. ↑,
98', Itaitinga ↓, Traore B. ↑,
101', 1 - 2, ⚽,
107', 🟨,
118', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Étoile has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Basel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Basel is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League
12.09.25	Étoile Carouge - Yverdon	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLL
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
13.09.25	Thun - Basel	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Sion - Basel	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Copenhagen - Basel	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Basel - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
16.08.25	Biel-Bienne - Basel	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Cup
26.02.25	Étoile Carouge - Basel	1:3
27.10.21	Étoile Carouge - Basel	1:0

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