Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belarus	Sport TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 14, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Selekt, Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 4
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Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 9
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Kairat		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.65
	5.00	3.90	1.57
	4.9	3.85	1.6
	5.46	3.96	1.66
	5.4	3.96	1.62	Watch
	5.35	3.85	1.61
	5.18	4.03	1.68
	5	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (3.96)	3.94 ↑ (3.63)	1.63 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
18.3%

Draw
23.8%

Panathinaikos
57.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

24.8%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat's form might have worsened.

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panathinaikos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panathinaikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Kairat - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Kairat has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Panathinaikos shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Panathinaikos for this game.

Confirmed absences for Kairat: Jorginho (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Panathinaikos: Chaves L. (Off the roster) Chirivella P. (Off the roster) Ingason S. I. (Knee Injury) Pantelidis P. (Broken Leg) Salah-Eddine A. (Off the roster) Sissoko M. (Off the roster).

Doubtful / questionable for Panathinaikos: Jagusic A. (Muscle Injury) Ounahi A. (Muscle Injury).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
18	Kairat Almaty	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Panathinaikos: 2.37% Kairat Almaty: 0.16%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
18.10.26	Kairat - Ertis Pavlodar	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Riga - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.10.26	Kairat - Zhetysu	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Astana - Kairat	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLL
- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
18.10.26	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Panathinaikos - Borac Banja Luka	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
11.10.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Kalamata - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
16.09.26	AE Kifisia - Panathinaikos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

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