Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Kairat		Yelimay Semey

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.75
	1.69	3.7	4.58
	1.65	3.76	4.68	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.69	3.76	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.76)	3.67 ↑ (3.66)	4.69 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
55.3%

Draw
25.1%

Yelimay Semey
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Kairat - Yelimay Semey Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Yelimay will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 20. Tapalov E. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 25. Shirobokov A. 3. Mata L. 8. Baybek O. 13. Oksanen J. 24. Mrynskiy A. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 10. Satpaev D.	99. Stojkovic V. (G) 3. Higor Gabriel 50. Miladinovic I. 4. Zhumakhanov A. 20. Ashirbek A. 23. Ilic H. 44. Tyulyubay A. 18. Orazov R. (C) 14. Palacio D. 11. Sviridov I. 77. Placca F.
Substitutes
27. Abish M. 23. Bagdat R. 30. Buch D. (G) 9. Edmilson 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 5. Kurgin L. 44. Lucas Africo 99. Ricardinho 6. Sadybekov A. 17. Tuyakbaev A. 11. Zeballos S.	2. Adambaev A. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 83. Baygaliev A. 88. Baygaliev A. 5. Belancic M. 27. Berezkin E. 7. Murtazaev R. 10. Payruz Z. 22. Pivkin N. (G) 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 67. Zhilin A.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Karpovich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Placca F. ⚽,
19', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tapalov E. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
58', Miladinovic I. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Jukkola O. ⚽,
62', Sviridov I. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
62', Palacio D. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Edmilson ⚽,
70', Jukkola O. ↓, Lucas Africo ↑,
73', Ilic H. ↓, Berezkin E. ↑,
83', Baybek O. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
86', Placca F. ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Ashirbek A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Kairat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yelimay is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Kairat is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
18.04.26	Kairat - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Jaiyq - Kairat	1:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Kairat - Astana	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Zenit - Kairat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWL
- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
18.04.26	Yelimay Semey - Astana	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Zhetysu - Yelimay Semey	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Turan Turkistan - Yelimay Semey	1:4 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.04.26	Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Aktobe - Yelimay Semey	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
16.08.25	Kairat - Yelimay Semey	2:3
18.05.25	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	1:0
03.08.24	Kairat - Yelimay Semey	4:1
19.05.24	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	1:1

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