Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 16

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday


	Kairat 2		Ulytau

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.55	3.6	2.35
	2.37	3.5	2.25
	2.82	3.41	2.28	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.89	3.54	2.14
	2.6	3.5	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.58)	3.51 ↑ (3.15)	2.28 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat 2
34.8%

Draw
25.7%

Ulytau
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat 2 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulytau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kairat 2 - Ulytau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Mendygaliev I. (G) 74. Moldakhmet E. 47. Akhmedov A. 29. Askarov S. 78. Saidov E. 96. Baybek O. 86. Abdrakhmanov A. 75. Nurbekuly A. 79. Valgushev G. 89. Bagdat R. 91. Sautov A.	35. Pavlov S. (G) 15. Zhumagali S. 2. Aslan R. 5. Slambekov D. 13. Sapanov M. 19. Erden A. 17. Moldakaraev Z. 18. Zhankhaev R. 9. Taubay A. 11. Fluk S. 20. Krasotin A.
Substitutes
52. Aitov E. (G) 37. Al Khadzh N. 94. Bizhan A. 25. Shirobokov A. 46. Tolepbergen A. 54. Turdybaev N. 87. Tuyakbaev A. 63. Zemlyanski I.	10. Anuarbekov N. 4. Chalkin M. 31. Dilmurat M. 3. Gunchenko V. 8. Kalymbetov A. 7. Kuanyshbay D. 27. Mamirbaev N. 12. Nursultanov K. 22. Rzataev B. 77. Sarsenbay E. 1. Smailov Y. 91. Zhangaliev Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Valgushev G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Moldakaraev Z. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Sapanov M. ⚽,
63', Nurbekuly A. ↓, Shirobokov A. ↑,
64', 🟨,
65', Krasotin A. ↓, Kuanyshbay D. ↑,
67', 🟨,
87', Moldakhmet E. ↓, Bizhan A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Bagdat R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 4).

Recent matches Kairat 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ulytau is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ulytau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kairat 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty 2
Kazakh First League
11.07.24	Okzhetpes - Kairat 2	3:0 ✺
03.07.24	Akzhayik - Kairat 2	2:3 ✺
27.06.24	Kairat 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:0 ✺
20.06.24	Kairat 2 - Kaisar 2	6:1 ✺
13.06.24	Zhetisay - Kairat 2	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh First League
11.07.24	Turkistan - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
04.07.24	Ulytau - Altai Semey	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Arys - Ulytau	1:4 ✺
21.06.24	Ulytau - Khan Tengri	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Aktobe 2 - Ulytau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
23.05.24	Ulytau - Kairat 2	3:1

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