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Current Win Probability
Kaiserslautern 40.9%
Draw 27.5%
Holstein Kiel 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
27.1%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
27.8%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaiserslautern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.2%
23.5%
35.3%
Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kaiserslautern: 17.8% – 64.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Kaiserslautern (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Kaiserslautern (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaiserslautern (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Krahl J. (G) 31. Sirch L. 4. Gyamfi M. 37. Robinson L. 26. Joly P. 6. Kunze F. 8. Sahin S. 22. Haas M. 15. Skytta N. 7. Ritter M. (C) 9. Prtajin I.
21. Krumrey J. (G) 26. Zec D. 5. Johansson C. 3. Komenda M. 11. Bernhardsson A. (C) 15. Davidsen K. 22. Schwab S. 47. Tolkin J. 20. Kapralik A. 10. Therkelsen J. 25. Muller M.
Substitutes
27. Abiama D. 48. Alidou F. 33. Elvedi J. 19. Hanslik D. 44. Hofmeister D. 3. Kleinhansl F. 20. Raschl T. 25. Simoni S. (G) 29. Tachie R.
19. Harres P. 6. Ivezic M. 24. Knudsen M. 45. Koster L. 13. Nekic I. 29. Niehoff N. 23. Rosenboom L. 2. Roslyng F. 1. Weiner T. (G)
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.
Rapp M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Skytta N. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Skytta N. ⚽, Sahin S. (A),
14', Joly P. ↓, Abiama D. ↑,
28', 2 - 1, Bernhardsson A. (Pen),
34', Schwab S. 🟨,
37', 3 - 1, Haas M. ⚽,
38', Zec D. 🟨,
42', Kunze F. 🟨,
42', Gyamfi M. 🟨,
45+6', 4 - 1, Skytta N. ⚽, Ritter M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Zec D. 🟨,
55', Muller M. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
55', Schwab S. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
58', Gyamfi M. ↓, Elvedi J. ↑,
67', Therkelsen J. ↓, Nekic I. ↑,
67', Kapralik A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
71', Bernhardsson A. 🟨,
79', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
87', Skytta N. ↓, Hanslik D. ↑,
87', Kunze F. ↓, Hofmeister D. ↑,
87', Ritter M. ↓, Raschl T. ↑,
90', Roslyng F. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 3.
Kaiserslautern has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Asta S.
(Knee Injury)
Kim Ji-Soo
(Muscle Injury)
Redondo K.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kapralik A.
(Injury)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kaiserslautern: Haas M.
(Illness)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Kaiserslautern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Holstein Kiel - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.