Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Fritz Walter Stadion (Kaiserslautern)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
World	Onefootball


	Kaiserslautern		Köln

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.1
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.75	2.17
	3.28	3.67	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.14	3.78	2.13	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.83)	3.64 ↓ (3.99)	2.12 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaiserslautern
29.3%

Draw
26%

Köln
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

23.7%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23.3%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaiserslautern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Köln might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Kaiserslautern - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Köln will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krahl J. (G) 33. Elvedi J. 31. Sirch L. 24. Heuer J. 32. Gyamerah J. 23. Afeez A. 2. Tomiak B. 13. Wekesser E. 41. Yokota D. 19. Hanslik D. 18. Mause J.	1. Schwabe M. (G) 4. Hubers T. (C) 6. Martel E. 17. Paqarada L. 29. Thielmann J. 7. Ljubicic D. 8. Huseinbasic D. 35. Finkgrafe M. 11. Kainz F. 37. Maina L. 42. Downs D.
Substitutes
28. Heck F. (G) 26. Kaloc F. 3. Kleinhansl F. 17. Opoku A. 20. Raschl T. 7. Ritter M. 37. Robinson L. 27. Ronstadt F. 6. Toure A.	38. Bakatukanda E. 18. Carstensen R. 43. Cuber Potocnik J. 44. Kobbing M. (G) 16. Obuz M. 21. Tigges S. 40. Urbig J. (G) 13. Uth M. 9. Waldschmidt L.
Coaches
Anfang M.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Ljubicic D. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
40', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ljubicic D. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
56', Gyamerah J. 🟨,
63', Mause J. ↓, Opoku A. ↑,
63', Afeez A. ↓, Raschl T. ↑,
67', Heuer J. 🟨,
74', Downs D. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
78', Gyamerah J. ↓, Ritter M. ↑,
81', Schwabe M. 🟨,
85', Finkgrafe M. ↓, Bakatukanda E. ↑,
89', Kainz F. ↓, Uth M. ↑,
90+4', Maina L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kaiserslautern won 2.

Kaiserslautern is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Köln in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Köln will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Redondo K. (Injury) Spahic A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Heintz D. (Yellow Cards) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Adamyan S. (Knock)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kaiserslautern won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kaiserslautern won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.24	Darmstadt - Kaiserslautern	5:1 ✺
07.12.24	Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
29.11.24	Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Kaiserslautern - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:2 ✺
08.11.24	Nürnberg - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWT
- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
15.12.24	Köln - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	Köln - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.24	Köln - Hannover	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Preußen Münster - Köln	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Kaiserslautern - Köln	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
17.03.14	Kaiserslautern - Köln	0:0
20.09.13	Köln - Kaiserslautern	0:0
05.04.13	Kaiserslautern - Köln	3:0
26.10.12	Köln - Kaiserslautern	3:3
German Bundesliga
05.02.12	Kaiserslautern - Köln	0:1

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