Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Kaiserslautern

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.92	3.3	3.85	Watch
	1.96	3.5	4.43
	1.91	3.39	4.26	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.97	3.04	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)	3.33 ↑ (3.15)	4.16 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
49.1%

Draw
28.3%

Kaiserslautern
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

30%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

30.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Kaiserslautern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 43. Ayhan M. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 5. Becker T. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 27. Porath F. 19. Karaman K. 8. Younes A. 7. Gomis C.	1. Krahl J. (G) 16. Chernev A. 4. Gyamfi M. 37. Robinson L. 26. Joly P. 31. Sirch L. 6. Kunze F. 22. Haas M. 15. Skytta N. 7. Ritter M. 17. Bassette N.
Substitutes
47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z. 31. Dietrich T. 10. Dzeko E. 45. Khadr M. 22. Muller K. (G) 46. Popperl P. 2. Sanchez F. 35. Wallentowitz M. 16. Zalazar M.	27. Abiama D. 33. Elvedi J. 38. Gibs N. 19. Hanslik D. 3. Kleinhansl F. 9. Prtajin I. 11. Redondo K. 8. Sahin S. 25. Simoni S. (G)
Coaches
Muslic M.	Lieberknecht T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Kurucay H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', Bassette N. ↓, Prtajin I. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Prtajin I. ⚽, Skytta N. (A),
67', Younes A. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
74', Ritter M. ↓, Sahin S. ↑,
75', Skytta N. ↓, Hanslik D. ↑,
77', Porath F. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
77', Becker T. ↓, Wallentowitz M. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Prtajin I. ⚽, Hanslik D. (A),
87', 1 - 2, Dzeko E. ⚽, Wallentowitz M. (A),
90', Kurucay H. ↓, Amoussou-Tchibara Z. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Karaman K. ⚽,
90+6', Kunze F. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Schalke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Schalke has had a series of away games.

Recently, Kaiserslautern has had a series of home games.

In this match, Schalke is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Schalke: Donkor A. (Ankle Injury) Gruger M. (Inactive) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Matriciani H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Asta S. (Knee Injury) Emreli M. (Muscle Injury) Kim Ji-Soo (Muscle Injury) Spahic A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Schalke: Gantenbein A. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Kaiserslautern: 1.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	6:4	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWW
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 2 Bundesliga
18.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Hannover	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Zürich	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Kaiserslautern - Magdeburg	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04	1:0
27.04.25	Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04	2:1
29.11.24	Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern	0:3
26.01.24	Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04	4:1
05.08.23	Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern	3:0
German Bundesliga
18.03.12	Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04	1:4

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