Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Fritz Walter Stadion (Kaiserslautern)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Kaiserslautern		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.25
	3.25	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.58	3.75	2.08
	3.11	3.75	2.16	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2	Watch
	3.48	3.73	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.8)	3.63 ↑ (3.63)	2.07 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaiserslautern
28.9%

Draw
25.8%

Paderborn
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.6%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaiserslautern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	21.4%	50%

Kaiserslautern - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 - Kaiserslautern (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaiserslautern (votes: 1 - 50%). Paderborn (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krahl J. (G) 31. Sirch L. 5. Kim Ji-Soo 16. Chernev A. 26. Joly P. 8. Sahin S. 6. Kunze F. (C) 3. Kleinhansl F. 15. Skytta N. 43. Gibs O. 17. Bassette N.	41. Seimen D. (G) 25. Scheller T. 20. Gotze F. (C) 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 2. Muller R. 9. Batzner N. 30. Marino S.
Substitutes
2. Asta S. 20. Berisha M. 10. Emreli M. 19. Hanslik D. 44. Hofmeister D. 11. Redondo K. 37. Robinson L. 25. Simoni S. (G) 13. Wekesser E.	7. Bilbija F. 22. Hansen M. 8. Kinsombi D. 11. Michel S. 10. Okpala K. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+7', 0 - 1, Brackelmann C. ⚽,
45+8', Krahl J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Chernev A. ↓, Robinson L. ↑,
46', Gibs O. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
56', Scheller T. 🟨,
65', Batzner N. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
65', Muller R. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
76', Sahin S. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
76', Kim Ji-Soo ↓, Redondo K. ↑,
76', Marino S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
77', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
84', Bilbija F. 🟨,
90', Bassette N. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Bilbija F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Baur M. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
90+9', 1 - 2, Redondo K. ⚽,
90+11', Curda L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 2.

Recent performances by Kaiserslautern have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paderborn is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Berisha M. (Muscle Injury) Gyamfi M. (Muscle Injury) Prtajin I. (Injury) Ritter M. (Yellow Cards) Spahic A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaiserslautern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Kaiserslautern: 1.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	6:4	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Kaiserslautern - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Paderborn - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.17%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 2 Bundesliga
22.02.26	Preußen Münster - Kaiserslautern	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Kaiserslautern - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Darmstadt - Kaiserslautern	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
22.02.26	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	5:2 ✺
15.02.26	Bochum - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Paderborn - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Paderborn - Kaiserslautern	2:0
15.03.25	Paderborn - Kaiserslautern	5:3
19.10.24	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	3:0
10.02.24	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	1:2
25.08.23	Paderborn - Kaiserslautern	1:2
17.02.23	Paderborn - Kaiserslautern	1:0
12.08.22	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	0:1

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