Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Bochum		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.35	2.48	Watch
	2.87	3.46	2.56
	2.71	3.41	2.56	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.73	3.44	2.53	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.62)	3.37 ↓ (3.51)	2.52 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
34.7%

Draw
28%

Paderborn
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Bochum - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Paderborn will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bochum (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bochum (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (C) 39. Morgalla L. 20. Loosli N. 3. Strompf P. 32. Wittek M. 23. Miyoshi K. 34. Lenz C. 24. Pannewig M. 17. Holtmann G. 21. Onyeka F. 33. Hofmann P.	41. Seimen D. (G) 25. Scheller T. 20. Gotze F. (C) 3. Sticker J. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 11. Michel S. 26. Klaas S. 27. Tigges S.
Substitutes
29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 11. Kwarteng M. 16. Marshall C. 4. Masovic E. 13. Olsen O. 18. Rakneberg M. 31. Sobottka M. 22. Thiede N. (G) 8. Watjen K.	9. Batzner N. 4. Brackelmann C. 28. Copado L. 22. Hansen M. 8. Kinsombi D. 30. Marino S. 2. Muller R. 10. Okpala K. 1. Schubert M. (G)
Coaches
Rosler U.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Miyoshi K. 🟨,
37', Klaas S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Klaas S. ↓, Brackelmann C. ↑,
54', Michel S. 🟨,
61', Miyoshi K. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
64', Michel S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
64', Sticker J. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
74', Tigges S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
74', Lenz C. ↓, Sobottka M. ↑,
74', Morgalla L. ↓, Olsen O. ↑,
74', Onyeka F. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,
76', Strompf P. 🟨,
82', Pannewig M. ↓, Masovic E. ↑,
89', Okpala K. 🟨,
90+2', Baur M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Ankle Injury) Sissoko I. (Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Brackelmann C. (Concussion) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Morgalla L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Bilbija F. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Bochum: 1.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5:6	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Paderborn - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
06.02.26	Preußen Münster - Bochum	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Bochum - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Elversberg - Bochum	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bochum - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
20.12.25	Bochum - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTTT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Paderborn - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Paderborn - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
12.09.25	Paderborn - Bochum	1:0
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Paderborn - Bochum	1:1
08.07.22	Paderborn - Bochum	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
10.04.21	Paderborn - Bochum	3:0
11.12.20	Bochum - Paderborn	3:0
09.02.19	Bochum - Paderborn	1:2
31.08.18	Paderborn - Bochum	2:2

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