Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Kaizer Chiefs		Simba

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.33	Watch
	1.9	2.9	4.2
	1.95	2.75	4.75	Watch
	1.91	2.8	4.4
	2.04	2.84	4.68
	1.91	3	4.2	Watch
	1.92	3.24	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)	4.36 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaizer Chiefs
47.7%

Draw
31.3%

Simba
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

19.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaizer Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaizer Chiefs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kaizer Chiefs - Simba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Kaizer Chiefs is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Simba in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Simba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kaizer Chiefs is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaizer Chiefs
South African Premier Soccer League
12.05.21	Kaizer Chiefs - Moroka Swallows	1:1 ✺
04.05.21	Marumo Gallants - Kaizer Chiefs	2:1 ✺
01.05.21	Bloemfontein Celtic - Kaizer Chiefs	2:2 ✺
28.04.21	Kaizer Chiefs - Chippa United	0:1 ✺
25.04.21	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTLW
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
27.04.21	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	3:1 ✺
24.04.21	Gwambina - Simba	0:1 ✺
21.04.21	Kagera Sugar - Simba	0:2 ✺
18.04.21	Mwadui - Simba	0:1 ✺
14.04.21	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

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