Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Mathare United		Kakamega Homeboyz

	1	X	2
	4.35	2.92	1.85
	4.41	2.96	1.84
	4.23	3.11	1.87	Watch
	4.26	3.12	1.9
	4.2	3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (4.2)	3.02 ↑ (3)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathare United
21.2%

Draw
30.1%

Kakamega Homeboyz
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

30%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

29.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kakamega Homeboyz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 0.

Recent form of Mathare United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Homeboyz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Homeboyz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Homeboyz is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
09.11.25	APS Bomet - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Shabana - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLLWL
- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
09.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	3:1 ✺
15.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bidco United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.09.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	0:0
04.06.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	1:0
28.01.23	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:5
12.02.22	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:3
08.12.21	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	2:2
10.07.21	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	4:2
29.11.19	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:3

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