Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 13

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kalmar		Malmö

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.50	2.55	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.50
	2.65	3.65	2.30
	2.66	3.79	2.58
	2.63	3.71	2.57
	2.55	3.75	2.55
	2.55	3.58	2.50	Watch
	2.60	3.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.51)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	2.5 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
36.3%

Draw
26.1%

Malmö
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.3%	13.5%	62.2%

Kalmar - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Malmö will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 46.6% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Malmö (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kindberg J. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 47. Keita A. 2. Larsson V. 17. Gustafsson C. (C) 23. R. Gojani 13. Rosenqvist C. 21. Magashy A. 24. Sagoe Jr C. 10. Soderback M.	27. Dahlin J. (C) 17. Stryger J. 19. Rosler C. 44. Palsson M. 23. John N. 40. Busuladzic K. 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A. 29. Haksabanovic S. 20. Botheim E. 45. Hoog A.
Substitutes
20. Almqvist A. 1. Brolin S. (G) 7. Chourak N. 70. Emeka Nnamani 5. Hallberg M. 11. Olusanya A. 3. Overby S. 12. Ravik Z. 6. Tyren V.	39. Assibu I. 9. Garcia D. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 2. Karlsson J. 4. Kurtulus B. 47. Lundbergh T. 28. Milosavljevic J. 50. Nieroth W. (G) 21. Vecchia S.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Helstrup G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Gustafsson C. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
29', 1 - 1, John N. ⚽, Botheim E. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Rosenqvist C. ⚽, R. Gojani (A),
45+1', Busuladzic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hoog A. ↓, Assibu I. ↑,
46', Rosler C. ↓, Kurtulus B. ↑,
47', Rosengren O. 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Skogmar A. ⚽, Haksabanovic S. (A),
64', R. Gojani ↓, Chourak N. ↑,
64', Magashy A. ↓, Hallberg M. ↑,
72', Botheim E. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
72', Busuladzic K. ↓, Lundbergh T. ↑,
80', Rosenqvist C. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
86', Soderback M. ↓, Emeka Nnamani ↑,
90', John N. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 1.

Kalmar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Malmö is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Malmö has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kalmar: Stolt M. (Injury)

There will not play in Malmö: Busanello (Inactive) Christiansen A. (Leg Injury) Djuric A. (Yellow Cards) Jansson P. (Knee Injury) Karabelyov Y. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:39. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Malmo FF: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37:33	4	33
13	Kalmar	22	5	4	13	21:36	-15	19

Last Results with these Odds

Kalmar - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.07.26	Hammarby - Kalmar	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Kalmar - Örgryte	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.06.26	AIK - Kalmar	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.05.26	GAIS - Kalmar	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kalmar - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWLW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.07.26	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	4:0 ✺
04.07.26	Degerfors - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Malmö - Midtjylland	2:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.05.26	Malmö - Halmstad	5:2 ✺
24.05.26	Malmö - Västerås SK	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.03.26	Malmö - Kalmar	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.08.24	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2
24.05.24	Malmö - Kalmar	5:0
08.10.23	Kalmar - Malmö	1:0
01.04.23	Malmö - Kalmar	1:0
28.08.22	Malmö - Kalmar	0:1
03.04.22	Kalmar - Malmö	0:1

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