Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 14

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kalmar		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.57
	2.55	3.40	2.60
	2.68	3.4	2.48
	2.76	3.53	2.68
	2.63	3.57	2.64
	2.6	3.5	2.6
	2.72	3.45	2.54	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.43)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.58 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kalmar
35.9%

Draw
27.4%

Mjällby
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.3%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	29.4%	58.8%

Kalmar - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Mjällby will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 47. Keita A. 2. Larsson V. 13. Rosenqvist C. 17. Gustafsson C. 23. R. Gojani 24. Sagoe Jr C. 10. Soderback M. 5. Hallberg M. (C)	13. Wallinder R. (G) 14. Granath V. 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 5. Iqbal A. 17. Stroud E. 10. Kjaer J. 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 23. Samuelsen A. 18. Bergstrom J.
Substitutes
20. Almqvist A. 7. Chourak N. 70. Emeka Nnamani 30. Kindberg J. (G) 21. Magashy A. 11. Olusanya A. 3. Overby S. 12. Ravik Z.	39. Arrhenius R. 8. Helge T. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 19. Manneh A. 25. Nielsen M. 2. Svanberg L. 27. Tidstrand L. 9. Youssef A.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Aksum K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Stroud E. ⚽, Granath V. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Keita A. ⚽, Hallberg M. (A),
36', Miettinen T. 🟨,
41', Larsson V. 🟨,
44', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Gustafson V. 🟨,
61', Granath V. 🟨,
66', Gustafson V. ↓, Manneh A. ↑,
67', Noren A. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Sagoe Jr C. ⚽,
73', Bergstrom J. ↓, Youssef A. ↑,
74', Hallberg M. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
74', R. Gojani ↓, Chourak N. ↑,
81', Miettinen T. ↓, Svanberg L. ↑,
81', Larsson V. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
89', Rosenqvist C. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
89', Soderback M. ↓, Almqvist A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Kalmar: Stolt M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Mjallby	23	5	8	10	28:39	-11	23
14	Kalmar	22	5	4	13	21:36	-15	19

Last Results with these Odds

Mjällby - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.6%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.26	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Hammarby - Kalmar	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Kalmar - Örgryte	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.06.26	AIK - Kalmar	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.05.26	GAIS - Kalmar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWL
- Mjällby AIF
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Mjällby - Lincoln Red Imps	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.07.26	Mjällby - Västerås SK	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Mjällby - AIK	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Sirius - Mjällby	4:4 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Copenhagen - Mjällby	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
21.02.26	Mjällby - Kalmar	2:0
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Mjällby - Kalmar	4:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.10.24	Kalmar - Mjällby	0:3
29.04.24	Mjällby - Kalmar	3:2
03.09.23	Kalmar - Mjällby	0:2
03.07.23	Mjällby - Kalmar	1:1
Svenska Cupen
12.03.23	Kalmar - Mjällby	0:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches