Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 14

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.4	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.54	3.29	2.09
	3.54	3.29	2.09
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.45	3.25	2.07	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
26.8%

Draw
28.4%

Omiya Ardija
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omiya Ardija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kamatamare Sanuki - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Imamura Y. (G) 66. Uchida M. 3. Munechika K. 99. Narasaka T. 24. Fukaminato S. 2. Usui K. 6. Hasegawa H. 13. Maekawa T. 11. Yoshida G. 23. Iwagishi S. 10. Kawanishi S.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 4. Ichihara R. 5. Urakami N. 20. Shimoguchi W. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 30. Arthur Silva 6. Ishikawa T. 49. Osawa T. 23. Sugimoto K.
Substitutes
19. Akahoshi K. 32. Matsubara K. (G) 8. Mori Y. 20. Shimokawa T. 29. Tao K. 18. Tominaga N. 14. Yoshida J.	26. Hamada M. 39. Izumisawa J. 21. Kato Y. (G) 17. Nakano K. 35. Shimizu Y. 8. Takayanagi F. 28. Tomiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Arthur Silva ⚽, Shimoguchi W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Urakami N. ⚽, Kojima M. (A),
55', Usui K. ↓, Tominaga N. ↑,
60', Osawa T. ↓, Tomiyama T. ↑,
74', Iwagishi S. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
74', Kawanishi S. ↓, Akahoshi K. ↑,
76', Izumi T. ↓, Hamada M. ↑,
87', Hasegawa H. ↓, Yoshida J. ↑,
89', Ishikawa T. 🟨,
89', Ishikawa T. ↓, Takayanagi F. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Omiya is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kamatamare won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kamatamare won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
06.05.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Ryūkyū - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTLT
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
06.05.24	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Gainare Tottori - Omiya Ardija	0:3 ✺
27.04.24	Imabari - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
21.04.24	Fukushima United - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Omiya Ardija - Nagoya Grampus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.09.18	Kamatamare Sanuki - Omiya Ardija	0:2
02.06.18	Omiya Ardija - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:2
07.11.15	Kamatamare Sanuki - Omiya Ardija	1:1
06.06.15	Omiya Ardija - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:0

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