Match Info

J3 League - Round 38

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Azul Claro Numazu

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.65	4.15	Watch
	1.74	3.73	4.1
	2.07	3.51	3.24	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.27	Watch
	1.73	3.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)	3.95 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
51.5%

Draw
25.3%

Azul Claro Numazu
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kamatamare Sanuki's performance.

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Azul Claro Numazu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kamatamare Sanuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azul Claro Numazu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kamatamare Sanuki - Azul Claro Numazu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Azul Claro Numazu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Iida M. (G) 2. Uchida M. 44. Hayashida K. 99. Tsukegi Y. 35. Sago S. 7. Eguchi N. 96. Yoshida J. 24. Ueno A. 13. Maekawa T. 90. Goto Y. 22. Ono Y.	30. Gueguim G. (G) 22. Ichimaru D. 5. Shinozaki T. 7. Numata K. 17. Fujii K. 18. Sugai T. 16. Mihara S. 8. Suzuki K. 11. Mori Y. 19. Saito M. 9. Suzuki W. I.
Substitutes
11. Eduardo 55. Fujii Y. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 14. Ishikura J. 50. Kimoto T. 17. Makiyama K. 88. Matsumoto K. 30. Niwa S. 29. Tao K.	28. Inoue K. 20. Kawamata K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 2. Miyawaki S. 35. Mukai H. 23. Shirawachi K. 14. Tokunaga K. 13. Watai K. 24. Yanagimachi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Suzuki W. I. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
46', Saito M. ↓, Tokunaga K. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Ueno A. ⚽,
63', Suzuki K. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
66', Ono Y. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
66', Maekawa T. ↓, Makiyama K. ↑,
73', Mori Y. ↓, Mukai H. ↑,
85', Fujii K. ↓, Shirawachi K. ↑,
85', Eguchi N. ↓, Ishikura J. ↑,
90+3', Goto Y. ↓, Niwa S. ↑,
90+3', Yoshida J. ↓, Kimoto T. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Azul Claro Numazu is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 4.

In recent matches, Kamatamare has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Azul Claro Numazu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kamatamare is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
22.11.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tochigi City - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTLLW
- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
23.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Ryūkyū - Azul Claro Numazu	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.04.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1
13.10.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2
06.05.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0
19.11.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2
05.03.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0
09.10.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Azul Claro Numazu	0:0
09.07.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0

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