The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Osaka 30.6%
Draw 29.2%
Tokushima Vortis 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
29.9%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
28.2%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Osaka - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tokushima Vortis will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sugawara H. (G) 11. Tsutsumi S. 40. Kawakami R. 4. Yamashita R. 13. Mima K. 18. Natsukawa Y. 37. Iesaka Y. 14. Sumida S. 28. Toya T. 29. Sugawara R. 7. Kitsui T.
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 4. Kaique 3. Yamada N. 44. Yamaguchi T. 22. Yanagisawa K. 6. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 7. Kodama S. 10. Sugimoto T. 9. Thonny Anderson 11. Lucas Barcelos
Substitutes
26. Dohi K. 66. Kim Y. 88. Matsumoto K. 36. Morimura S. 41. Nose R. 2. Sakamoto K. 31. Sekinuma N. (G) 9. Shimada T. 27. Wada H.
69. Fukuta M. 31. Hasegawa T. (G) 8. Iwao K. 27. Izuchukwu L. 14. Kajiya Y. 20. Matsuda K. 55. Shigehiro T. 25. Suzuki W. I. 24. Takada S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Kanuma N. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Sugimoto T. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Sugawara R. ⚽, Kawakami R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Kitsui T. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
67', Natsukawa Y. ↓, Morimura S. ↑,
67', Toya T. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Kawakami R. ⚽,
73', Kodama S. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Takagi Y. ⚽, Kanuma N. (A),
81', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
83', Mima K. 🟨,
85', Kaique 🟨,
87', Sugawara R. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
89', Sugimoto T. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
90+3', Kaique 🟨,
Penalties (14 - 13)
1, Kawakami R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Thonny Anderson (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nose R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Matsumoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lucas Barcelos (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sumida S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kanuma N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Shimada T. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Yamada N. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Yamashita R. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Iwao K. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Iesaka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Yamaguchi T. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Morimura S. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Takada S. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Mima K. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Izuchukwu L. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Sugawara H. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Nagaishi T. (Penalty Awarded),
11, Kawakami R. (Penalty Awarded),
11, Thonny Anderson (Penalty Awarded),
12, Nose R. (Penalty Awarded),
12, Takagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
13, Matsumoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
13, Lucas Barcelos (Penalty Awarded),
14, Sumida S. (Penalty Awarded),
14, Kanuma N. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).
Osaka has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tokushima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tokushima might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Tokushima will win today's game, with odds of 2.18.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
China
Japan
Watch
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Sugawara H. (G) 
Kaique 
Kim Y. 
Izuchukwu L. 
