Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tovuz şəhər stadionu (Tovuz)

Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Kapaz		Sabah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.9	4.35	1.35	Watch
	7.33	4.45	1.38
	6.51	4.46	1.40	Watch
	7.95	4.25	1.35
	6.5	4.5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.04 ↑ (6.5)	4.4 ↓ (4.5)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapaz
12.9%

Draw
20.6%

Sabah
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

19.6%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Kapaz - Sabah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rosa K. (G) 12. Ba M. (C) 6. Gomes P. 5. Huseynli R. 27. Isayev M. 38. Jefferson Maciel 77. Nabiyev F. 10. Ohori R. 24. Onanuga O. 9. Pachu 7. Shahverdiyev E.	92. Pokatilov S. (G) 13. Lepinjica I. 19. Malouda A. 20. Mickels J. 27. Puchacz T. 33. Rakhmonaliyev U. 70. Sekidika J. 2. Seydiyev A. (C) 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S. 40. Ygor Nogueira
Substitutes
20. Abilov E. 53. Asurov S. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 55. Dongo D. 23. Kalantarov F. 15. Mammadov R. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 88. Seyidov S. 21. Shafiyev S.	88. Aliyev K. 53. Andrey 12. Ayyubov R. (G) 5. Dashdamirov R. 8. Guliev A. 46. Isayev A. 6. Khaybulaev A. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 10. Nuriyev A. 11. Parris K.
Coaches
Bagirov A.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Simic V. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Mickels J. ⚽,
29', Mickels J. 🟨,
44', Seydiyev A. 🟨,
45+2', Ba M. ↓, Seyidov S. ↑,
45+5', 1 - 2, Onanuga O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Malouda A. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
46', Sekidika J. ↓, Isayev A. ↑,
54', 1 - 3, Ygor Nogueira ⚽,
63', Ohori R. 🟨,
67', Isayev M. ↓, Dongo D. ↑,
68', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
72', Mickels J. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
78', Pachu ↓, Asurov S. ↑,
79', Simic V. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
79', Ohori R. ↓, Asurov S. ↑,
82', Onanuga O. 🟨,
83', Parris K. 🟨,
83', Parris K. ↓, Aliyev K. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+2', Shafiyev S. 🟨,
90+2', Ygor Nogueira 🟨,
90+4', Asurov S. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ I Liqa and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 2.

Kapaz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sabah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kapaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kapaz has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sabah is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.6:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.11.25	Neftchi Baku - Kapaz	5:1 ✺
24.10.25	Kapaz - İmişli	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Shamakhi - Kapaz	1:4 ✺
04.10.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Turan Tovuz - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWLL
- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
03.11.25	Sabah - Gabala	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Sabah - Zira	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Karvan - Sabah	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Sabah - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
06.04.25	Sabah - Kapaz	0:1
31.01.25	Kapaz - Sabah	3:2
09.11.24	Sabah - Kapaz	2:2
31.08.24	Kapaz - Sabah	2:3
21.04.24	Kapaz - Sabah	1:2
17.02.24	Sabah - Kapaz	3:2
Azerbaijan Cup
18.12.23	Kapaz - Sabah	3:4

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