The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shamakhi 45.5%
Draw 30%
Kapaz 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
29.5%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
27.6%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Shamakhi - Kapaz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 82. Abbasov R. 5. Agcabayov A. (C) 13. Apolinario R. 11. Balau D. 4. Cezar 44. David Santos 97. Mammadov O. 9. Rossi K. 2. Rzayev A. 10. Tircoveanu A.
33. Imanov Y. (G) 4. Abuladze M. 14. Fofana A. 11. Haciyev R. 5. Huseynli R. 77. Nabiyev F. 10. Ohori R. 24. Onanuga O. 9. Pachu 88. Seyidov S. 29. Verdasca D. (C)
Substitutes
7. Adilkhanov E. 88. Fernandes R. 14. Gafarov R. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 21. Ismayilov B. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Maharramli R. 77. Mehraliyev N. 8. Msanga A. 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 19. Shuaibu A. 27. Suleymanov E.
20. Abilov E. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 6. Cafarov C. 22. Huseynov M. (G) 83. Isaqov R. 80. Ismayilov S. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 21. Shafiyev S. 7. Shahverdiyev E. 57. Yusifov A.
Coaches
Abbasov A.
Bagirov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Huseynli R. 🟨,
20', Pachu 🟨,
28', Seyidov S. 🟨,
36', Mammadov O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', Rzayev A. ↓, Maharramli R. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Apolinario R. ⚽,
71', Apolinario R. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Tircoveanu A. ⚽,
81', Huseynli R. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
81', Onanuga O. ↓, Shahverdiyev E. ↑,
81', Tircoveanu A. ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
81', Rossi K. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
87', Seyidov S. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+2', Nabiyev F. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 2.
Recent performances by Shamakhi have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kapaz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Shamakhi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kapaz has had a series of home games.
Shamakhi might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).