Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Neftci Arena (Baku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Neftchi Baku		Kapaz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.28	4.92	9.09	Watch
	1.32	5.06	8.99
	1.3	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.28)	4.87 ↓ (4.92)	8.52 ↓ (9.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
70.5%

Draw
18.8%

Kapaz
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

18.6%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Neftchi Baku - Kapaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Neftchi will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kapaz will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piric K. (G) 45. Aboubakar V. 15. Badalov E. 11. Faraj I. 5. Igor Ribeiro 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 18. Mathew I. 23. Rezabala J. 77. Sacko F. 24. Seck M. 10. Vargas F.	1. Rosa K. (G) 5. Huseynli R. 27. Isayev M. 38. Jefferson Maciel 77. Nabiyev F. 24. Onanuga O. 9. Pachu 88. Seyidov S. 7. Shahverdiyev E. 29. Verdasca D. (C) 11. Vitor Feijao
Substitutes
1. Balayev E. (G) 93. Cafarov R. (G) 4. Camalov E. 27. Costin C. 6. D'Almeida S. 17. Khachayev M. 14. Kuc E. 47. Mammadov M. 22. Ortiz L. 7. Safarov E. 19. Salyanskiy A. 9. Sambou B.	20. Abilov E. 53. Asurov S. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 55. Dongo D. 6. Gomes P. 23. Kalantarov F. 15. Mammadov R. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 21. Shafiyev S.
Coaches
Abasov S.	Bagirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Mahmudov E. (Pen),
23', 2 - 0, Aboubakar V. ⚽,
35', Verdasca D. 🟨,
40', Seyidov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Vitor Feijao ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
53', Mahmudov E. 🟨,
63', Seyidov S. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
63', Pachu ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
65', Samadov U. 🟨,
67', Igor Ribeiro 🟨,
68', Rezabala J. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
68', Aboubakar V. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Sambou B. ⚽,
75', Jefferson Maciel ↓, Mammadov R. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Shafiyev S. ⚽,
79', Faraj I. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
79', Mahmudov E. ↓, Safarov E. ↑,
84', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Asurov S. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Sambou B. ⚽,
90', Mathew I. ↓, Camalov E. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 1, Vargas F. ⚽,
90+3', Onanuga O. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ I Liqa).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 3.

Neftchi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kapaz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neftchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kapaz has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neftchi is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Neftchi Baku - MOIK Baku	6:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
26.10.25	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Zira - Neftchi Baku	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Neftchi Baku - Karvan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTTT
- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
24.10.25	Kapaz - İmişli	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Shamakhi - Kapaz	1:4 ✺
04.10.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Turan Tovuz - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Gabala - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
04.05.25	Neftchi Baku - Kapaz	2:2
05.03.25	Kapaz - Neftchi Baku	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
28.02.25	Neftchi Baku - Kapaz	1:0
05.02.25	Kapaz - Neftchi Baku	0:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.12.24	Neftchi Baku - Kapaz	2:1
04.10.24	Kapaz - Neftchi Baku	4:3
10.05.24	Neftchi Baku - Kapaz	5:1

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