Match Info

GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Karlsruher		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.2
	3.25	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.37	3.65	2.21
	3.27	3.51	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.24	3.6	2.17	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.68)	3.53 ↓ (3.78)	2.17 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
29.3%

Draw
26.9%

Augsburg
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

24.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

24.6%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlsruher's form might have worsened.

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlsruher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	28.6%	64.3%

Karlsruher - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Jung S. 28. Franke M. 4. Beifus M. 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 6. Jensen L. 17. Rapp N. 10. Wanitzek M. 11. Zivzivadze B. 24. Schleusener F.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 5. Matsima C. 6. Gouweleeuw J. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 11. Wolf M. 17. Jakic K. 44. Koudossou H. 19. Onyeka F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 9. Essende S. 21. Tietz P.
Substitutes
31. Conte B. 25. Egloff L. 29. Gunther L. 5. Heusser R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 9. Hunziker A. 16. Pfeiffer L.	40. Banks N. 23. Bauer M. 18. Breithaupt T. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 15. Mounie S. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 16. Vargas R.
Coaches
Eichner C.	Thorup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Wanitzek M. (Pen),
40', 0 - 1, Essende S. ⚽, Koudossou H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Schleusener F. ⚽, Zivzivadze B. (A),
59', Jakic K. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
67', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Vargas R. ↑,
67', Essende S. ↓, Maier A. ↑,
77', Rapp N. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
81', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
82', Onyeka F. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
93', Maier A. 🟨,
94', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
94', Tietz P. 🟨,
98', Wolf M. ↓, Bauer M. ↑,
105+1', Schleusener F. ↓, Hunziker A. ↑,
105+1', Burnic D. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
111', 2 - 1, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Zivzivadze B. (A),
115', Jensen L. 🟨,
118', Jensen L. ↓, Egloff L. ↑,
120+1', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
120+1', Rexhbecaj E. 🟨,
120+3', 2 - 2, Vargas R. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Wanitzek M. (Pen),
1, Tietz P. (Pen),
2, Hunziker A. (Pen),
2, Schlotterbeck K. (Pen),
3, Beifus M. (Pen),
3, Vargas R. (Pen),
4, Herold D. (Pen),
4, Rexhbecaj E. (Pen),
5, Heusser R. (Pen),
5, Bauer M. (Pen),

Preview

Karlsruher is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Augsburg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Augsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Augsburg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Karlsruher: Bormuth R. (Knee Injury) Gunther L. (Groin Injury) Kobald C. (Abdominal strain) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Breithaupt T. (Ankle Injury) Giannoulis D. (Muscle Injury) Gumny R. (Groin Injury) Jensen F. (Groin Injury) Oxford R. (Illness)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Pedersen M. (Groin Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
01.12.24	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Karlsruher - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.11.24	Karlsruher - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hannover - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	Augsburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
22.11.24	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Augsburg - Ingolstadt	7:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.11.24	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTT

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