Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 14 November 2024, Thursday


	Karlsruher		Freiburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.85
	3.55	3.5	1.88	Watch
	3.59	3.6	1.92
	3.56	3.8	1.92	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.8
	3.76	3.88	1.89	Watch
	3.55	3.5	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (5.5)	3.63 ↓ (4.05)	1.88 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
25.8%

Draw
25.3%

Freiburg
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

22.5%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

21.7%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlsruher's performance.

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlsruher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Karlsruher - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Freiburg will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Himmelmann R. (G) 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 28. Franke M. 39. Zengin E. 20. Herold D. 25. Egloff L. 5. Heusser R. 8. Rupp N. 10. Wanitzek M. 9. Hunziker A. 31. Conte B.	21. Muller F. (G) 17. Kubler L. 4. Schmidt K. 28. Ginter M. 33. Makengo J. 27. Hofler N. 8. Eggestein M. 7. Weisshaupt N. 26. Philipp M. 32. Grifo V. 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
26. Bauer B. 27. Ersungur A. 43. Geller R. 6. Jensen L. 18. Koch A. (G) . Mitakidis D. 17. Rapp N. 24. Schleusener F.	5. Gulde M. 30. Gunter C. 24. Huth J. (G) . Muller R. . Steinmann K. 46. Sturm Y. . Wiklof O. 20. Worner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Holer L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Freiburg is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Karlsruher won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
10.11.24	Karlsruher - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hannover - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Kickers Offenbach - Karlsruher	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
20.10.24	Ulm 1846 - Karlsruher	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLW
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
08.11.24	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Freiburg - Mainz	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Freiburg - Augsburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.09.23	Karlsruher - Freiburg	0:1
16.12.22	Freiburg - Karlsruher	3:2
15.08.20	Freiburg - Karlsruher	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.16	Freiburg - Karlsruher	1:0
Club Friendly
24.01.16	Karlsruher - Freiburg	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.15	Karlsruher - Freiburg	1:1
Club Friendly
18.01.15	Freiburg - Karlsruher	0:5

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