Match Info

Date: 22 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima)


	Kashima Antlers		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.35	4.6	6.75
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.33	4.6	7.2
	1.3	4.87	6.65
	1.33	4.33	8
	1.38	4.95	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.56)	4.62 ↑ (3.6)	7.39 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
67.8%

Draw
19.8%

Omiya Ardija
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

25.2%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

26.1%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kashima Antlers's performance.

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kashima Antlers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	22.2%	5.6%

Kashima Antlers - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Omiya will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Omiya have a series of guest games.

In this match Kashima is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Kashima won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
18.06.22	Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
11.06.22	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
04.06.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Kashima Antlers - Niigata University of Health and Welfare	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
29.05.22	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
18.06.22	JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
12.06.22	Blaublitz Akita - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
05.06.22	Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Ryūkyū - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
Japan J2 League
28.05.22	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
09.09.17	Kashima Antlers - Omiya Ardija	1:0
01.04.17	Omiya Ardija - Kashima Antlers	0:1
01.10.16	Kashima Antlers - Omiya Ardija	1:3
Japan Nabisco Cup
05.06.16	Omiya Ardija - Kashima Antlers	1:0
Japan J1 League
30.04.16	Omiya Ardija - Kashima Antlers	0:0
13.09.14	Omiya Ardija - Kashima Antlers	2:1
23.07.14	Kashima Antlers - Omiya Ardija	2:2

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