Match Info

J1 League - Round 19

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gamba Osaka		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.9
	2.3	3.36	2.87	Watch
	2.4	3.59	2.96
	2.38	3.45	2.95	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.9
	2.48	3.49	2.77	Watch
	2.32	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.48)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.88 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
40%

Draw
27.5%

Kashima Antlers
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Kashima will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Kashima (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Kashima (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 25%). Kashima (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ichimori J. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 4. Kurokawa K. 51. Mitsuta M. 6. Lavi N. 17. Yamashita R. 7. Usami T. 47. Juan Alano 23. Hummet D.	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 25. Koike R. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 2. Anzai K. 10. Shibasaki G. 20. Funabashi Y. 77. Cavric A. 71. Araki R. 40. Suzuki Y. 9. Leo Ceara
Substitutes
18. Araki R. (G) 24. Egawa Y. 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 42. Minamino H. 5. Miura G. 33. Nakano S. 38. Nawata G. 97. Welton	14. Higuchi Y. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 32. Matsumoto H. 27. Matsumura Y. 6. Misao K. 28. Mizoguchi S. 11. Tagawa K. 17. Talles Brener 23. Tsukui K.
Coaches
Poyatos D.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Kim Tae-Hyeon (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Funabashi Y. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
60', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
60', Shibasaki G. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
60', Anzai K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
76', Yamashita R. ↓, Welton ↑,
81', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
90+2', Kurokawa K. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 1.

Gamba Osaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kashima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Injury) Suzuki T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Kashima: Sekigawa I. (Inactive) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)

There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Usami T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kashima: Morooka S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
25.05.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
17.05.25	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	3:2 ✺
11.05.25	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLLLW
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
25.05.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
26.06.24	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	0:0
28.04.24	Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers	1:2
24.06.23	Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers	2:1
29.04.23	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	4:0
05.11.22	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
13.07.22	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	2:0
Japan J League Cup
18.05.22	Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers	1:3

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