The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64.3%
Draw 22.4%
Avispa Fukuoka 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
22.9%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
19.2%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanfrecce Hiroshima that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 35. Nakajima Y. 13. Arai N. 10. Suzuki A. 39. Nakamura S. 17. Kinoshita K.
41. Fujita K. (G) 16. Oka T. 37. Tashiro M. 15. Tsujioka Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 34. Shiihashi K. 11. Miki T. (C) 29. Maejima Y. 6. Shigemi M. 14. Nago S. 7. Usui S.
Substitutes
30. Arslan T. 9. Germain R. 24. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 41. Maeda N. 14. Matsumoto T. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 16. Shichi T. 3. Yamasaki T.
22. Fujimoto K. 25. Kitajima Y. 27. Michiwaki Y. 45. Miya D. 3. Nara T. 99. Obi P. O. (G) 8. Okuno K. 32. Sani Brown A. 33. Yamawaki K.
Coaches
Gaul B.
Tsukahara S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Hashimoto Y. ⚽, Tsujioka Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nakano S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
50', Usui S. 🟨,
57', Nakajima Y. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
58', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
63', Shigemi M. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
63', Shiihashi K. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
63', Tashiro M. 🟨,
66', Suzuki A. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
71', Nago S. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
71', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
73', Arslan T. 🟨,
79', Tsujioka Y. ↓, Miya D. ↑,
82', Kawabe H. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
90+3', Fujita K. 🟨,
90+4', Arai N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 4.
Recent performances by Hiroshima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hiroshima is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Germain R.
(Inactive)
Kim Ju-Sung
(International duty)
Osako K.
(International duty)
Suga D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kim Ju-Sung
(Injury)
Shiotani T.
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
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World
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Osako K. (G) 
Arslan T. 
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