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Current Win Probability
Tokyo 23.1%
Draw 26.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.5%
26.5%
52%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
26%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
40%
50%
Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 19% โ 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hiroshima (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Nozawa T. (G) 32. Doi K. 47. Kimura S. 44. Henrique Trevisan 99. Shirai K. 37. Koizumi K. 8. Ko T. 7. Anzai S. 22. Endo K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 16. Sato K.
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. 15. Nakano S. 24. Higashi S. 6. Kawabe H. 13. Arai N. 41. Maeda N. 51. Kato M. 9. Germain R.
Substitutes
13. Hatano G. (G) 10. Higashi K. 4. Kimoto Y. 19. Marcelo Ryan 3. Morishige M. 39. Nakagawa T. 28. Nozawa L. 30. Oka T. 27. Tokiwa K.
98. Germain V. 20. Inoue S. 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 32. Koshimichi S. 5. Matsumoto H. 39. Nakamura S. 40. Ohara M. 18. Suga D. 3. Yamasaki T.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.
Skibbe M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Shiotani T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Maeda N. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Araki H. ⚽, Arai N. (A),
60', 0 - 2, Germain R. ⚽,
62', Ko T. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
62', Shirai K. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
73', Henrique Trevisan ↓, Morishige M. ↑,
74', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Oka T. ↑,
85', Koizumi K. 🟨,
87', Kato M. (Pen),
89', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
90', Kato M. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
90+1', Shiotani T. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
90+1', Araki H. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
90+4', Germain V. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
Preview
Neutral location - New National Stadium.
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 0.
In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hiroshima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hiroshima is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kawanami G.
(Hand Injury)
Nakajima Y.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Nozawa T. (G) 
Henrique Trevisan 
Germain V. 
Jeong Min-Ki (G) 
Skibbe M. 
