Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nagoya Grampus		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.40	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.40
	2.50	3.30	2.60	Watch
	2.92	3.50	2.53
	2.69	3.46	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.40	2.45
	2.89	3.42	2.42	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.52)	3.41 ↑ (3.32)	2.47 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagoya Grampus
34%

Draw
27.7%

Fagiano Okayama
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pisano A. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 13. Fujii H. 55. Tokumoto S. 9. Asano Y. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 31. Takamine T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.	1. Moser L. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 51. Shirai K. 41. Miyamoto E. 80. Oberdan 88. Yamane T. 10. Na Sang-Ho 8. Esaka A. (C) 99. Lucao
Substitutes
33. Kikuchi T. 19. Koda H. 58. Koyamatsu T. 37. Kubo H. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 3. Sato Y. 30. Sugiura S. 16. Takeda Y. (G)	79. Browne N. 24. Fujita I. 33. Kamiya Yuta 20. Kawano K. 9. Leo Gaucho 13. Matsuda S. (G) 26. Motoyama H. 5. Shu I. 18. Tagami D.
Coaches
Petrovic M.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Lucao (A),
43', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Na Sang-Ho 🟨,
62', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
66', Asano Y. 🟨,
67', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
70', Nogami Y. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
70', Leo Gaucho 🟨,
76', Lucao ↓, Kawano K. ↑,
76', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
83', Yamane T. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
83', Izumi R. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
83', Suzuki Y. ↓, Shu I. ↑,
83', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
86', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Nakayama K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.

Okayama has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Nagoya: Marcus Vinicius (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Okayama: Kimura T. (Foot Injury) Ogura K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Okayama: 1.92% Nagoya Grampus: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4

Last Results with these Odds

Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagoya Grampus
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - Beluga Rosso Iwami	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Schalke 04 - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
29.04.26	Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 penalties
01.03.26	Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 penalties
13.09.25	Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus	0:1
06.05.25	Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
02.08.21	Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama	1:0
Japan J2 League
05.11.17	Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus	0:1
26.02.17	Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama	2:0

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