Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Omarov R. (Kaz)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Altai Semey

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.00
	1.85	3.45	3.20
	2.21	3.30	3.24
	1.99	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.20
	2.23	3.52	2.98
	2.11	3.30	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.76)	3.35 ↓ (4.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
43.7%

Draw
27.2%

Altai Semey
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

22.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaspiy Aktau's form might have worsened.

Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaspiy Aktau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Kaspiy Aktau - Altai Semey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Zhomart D. (G) 21. Aripov D. 14. Amaral A. 30. Morgado B. 19. Taykenov M. 23. Nabikhanov A. (C) 15. Epton D. 26. Sedko P. 17. Klimovich V. 11. Ndombasi N. 9. Abylaykhan R.	25. Kucher D. (G) 15. Schmidt D. (C) 23. Kenzhegulov D. 88. Ivanov S. 4. Micevic N. 98. Podstrelov D. 11. Dadaev I. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 9. Gorshunov E. 45. Dodev D. 99. Stoisavljevic D.
Substitutes
20. Abdulla N. 49. Andrin Y. (G) 8. Armenov A. 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 16. Baydavletov A. 7. Kabylan B. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 67. Kalmyrza M. 27. Nechayev D. 13. Serikbay M. 93. Sylla K. 10. Umaev I.	35. Aliakbar A. (G) 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 19. Gultyaev Z. 91. Khizhnichenko S. 17. Kukeev Z. 29. Lobzhanidze E. 70. Mitrofanov D. 77. Popov S. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 5. Saylybaev O.
Coaches
Esatov R.	Masudov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Epton D. 🟨,
22', Schmidt D. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Nazymkhanov A. ⚽, Gorshunov E. (A),
38', Morgado B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Stoisavljevic D. 🟨,
58', Nazymkhanov A. 🟨,
62', Abylaykhan R. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
64', Micevic N. ↓, Kukeev Z. ↑,
64', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Lobzhanidze E. ↑,
65', Dodev D. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
72', Nazymkhanov A. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Taykenov M. ⚽,
75', Dadaev I. ↓, Saylybaev O. ↑,
76', Epton D. ↓, Kabylan B. ↑,
76', Ndombasi N. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
83', Gorshunov E. ↓, Khizhnichenko S. ↑,
89', Aripov D. ↓, Nechayev D. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Klimovich V. ⚽, Kabylan B. (A),

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 14th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Kaspiy has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kaspiy holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kaspiy has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kaspij Aktau	29	9	6	14	31:42	-11	33
13	Altai	29	6	9	14	30:41	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
18.09.26	Zhetysu - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLWT
- Altai Semey
Kazakh Premier League
18.09.26	Altai Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ulytau - Altai Semey	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Altai Semey - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Zhenis - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Altai Semey - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
22.03.26	Altai Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0
Kazakh First League
07.08.25	Altai Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	5:1
10.10.24	Altai Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	0:3

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