Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)

Referee: Moskovchenko G. (Kaz)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.15
	2.90	3.10	2.10	Watch
	2.96	3.59	2.24
	2.97	3.8	2.05	Watch
	2.70	3.55	2.20
	3.14	3.40	2.19	Watch
	2.90	3.30	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.42)	3.43 ↑ (3.12)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
31.2%

Draw
26.5%

Aktobe
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

29.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

28.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Zhomart D. (G) 14. Amaral A. 30. Morgado B. 67. Kalmyrza M. 21. Aripov D. 17. Klimovich V. 15. Epton D. 19. Taykenov M. 26. Sedko P. 9. Abylaykhan R. 10. Umaev I.	1. Trofimets I. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 13. Miangue S. 12. Topalov D. 6. Atanasov J. 20. Zhukov G. 21. Alvarez P. 7. Sosah D. 9. Ojo S. 11. Shushenachev A.
Substitutes
49. Andrin Y. (G) 8. Armenov A. 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 16. Baydavletov A. 55. Elemes N. 7. Kabylan B. 18. Kucheriavyi M. 23. Nabikhanov A. 27. Nechayev D. 13. Serikbay M. 93. Sylla K. 47. Usenov D.	95. Aymbetov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 83. Korganbaev P. (G) 4. Kusyapov T. 14. Pibe 22. Seydakhmet E. 57. Umaniyazov M. 77. Zaria G.
Coaches
Esatov R.	Cherevchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Shushenachev A. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 0 - 1, Sosah D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Alvarez P. 🟨,
59', Abylaykhan R. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
59', Umaev I. ↓, Kucheriavyi M. ↑,
67', Topalov D. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
68', Epton D. ↓, Nabikhanov A. ↑,
70', Kucheriavyi M. 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, Ojo S. ⚽, Seydakhmet E. (A),
86', Atanasov J. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Morgado B. ⚽,
90+1', Atanasov J. ↓, Kusyapov T. ↑,
90+3', Shushenachev A. ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
90+4', Nabikhanov A. 🟨,
90+5', Seydakhmet E. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Kaspiy has had a series of home games.

Recently, Aktobe has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
05.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kaspiy Aktau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTTL
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
05.09.26	Aktobe - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
12.04.26	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
30.07.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	2:2
21.05.23	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0
08.10.22	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	4:0
08.05.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	2:0
30.10.21	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	1:5
14.03.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	1:1

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