Match Info

I Lyga - Round 25

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		Garliava

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.30	2.30
	2.80	3.45	2.12
	2.42	3.56	2.40
	2.59	3.67	2.3	Watch
	2.35	3.50	2.35
	2.65	3.53	2.38
	2.7	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.55)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	2.31 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
34.9%

Draw
25.9%

Garliava
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

26.1%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

21.2%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Žalgiris 2's performance.

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garliava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 14th in the I Lyga (Relegation) and 12th).

In recent outings, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Garliava has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kauno Žalgiris 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Garliava	28	9	5	14	34:32	2	32
13	Kauno Zalgiris 2	28	9	1	18	27:45	-18	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
12.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Jonava	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
12.09.26	Garliava - BFA Vilnius	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Ekranas - Garliava	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.05.26	Garliava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:0
08.11.24	Garliava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:4
21.06.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava	2:2
13.10.23	Garliava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0
29.05.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava	2:2

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