Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kawasaki Frontale		Al-Sadd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	3	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.57	3.48	2.76
	2.5	3.41	2.69	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.58	3.36	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.16)	3.36 ↓ (3.45)	2.75 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
38%

Draw
27.9%

Al-Sadd
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

28.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kawasaki Frontale's form might have worsened.

Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Sadd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Kawasaki Frontale - Al Sadd Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Sadd will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Al-Sadd (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Kawasaki (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Sadd (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 5. Sasaki A. 2. Takai K. 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 77. Yamamoto Y. 19. Kawahara S. 41. Ienaga A. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 9. Erison	22. Barsham M. (G) 77. Atal Y. 2. Pedro Miguel 16. Khoukhi B. 5. Salman T. 6. Paulo Otavio 14. Meshaal M. 4. Camara M. 33. Claudinho 19. Mujica R. 84. Afif A. (C)
Substitutes
21. Ando S. (G) 44. Haydar C. 37. Ito T. 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 32. Kanda S. 16. Ozeki Y. 28. Patrick Verhon 30. Segawa Y. 8. Tachibanada K. 15. Tanabe S. 31. van Wermeskerken S. 20. Yamada S.	9. Abdurisag Y. 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 13. Al Yazidi A. 31. Baliadeh Y. (G) 8. Baqer A. 81. Bounacer A. 17. Cristo 21. Giovani 18. Guilherme 32. Haider Dib K. (G) 37. Suhail A.
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Sanchez Bas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Erison ⚽, Ienaga A. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Paulo Otavio ⚽, Afif A. (A),
21', 2 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mujica R. ↓, Giovani ↑,
56', Erison ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
63', Atal Y. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
63', Meshaal M. ↓, Al Haydos H. ↑,
65', Marcinho ↓, Ito T. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Claudinho ⚽, Giovani (A),
82', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
82', Ienaga A. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
82', Salman T. ↓, Al Yazidi A. ↑,
83', Khoukhi B. ↓, Suhail A. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
98', 3 - 2, Wakizaka Y. ⚽, Yamada S. (A),
99', Camara M. ↓, Cristo ↑,
100', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
106', Sasaki A. ↓, van Wermeskerken S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Kawasaki is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Sadd is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Al-Sadd have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
20.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:3 ✺
06.04.25	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTTT
- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar Cup
22.04.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha	3:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
18.04.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha	5:0 ✺
11.04.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Khor	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Sadd	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Wakrah	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

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