Match Info

J1 League - Round 15

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Kawasaki Frontale		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.55	Watch
	2.14	3.41	3.75
	2.13	3.25	3.63	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.15	3.31	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)	3.26 ↓ (3.36)	3.59 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
45%

Draw
28.8%

Tokyo Verdy
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 2. Matsunagane Y. 28. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 34. Osa R. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 91. Romanic L.	21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 15. Suzuki K. 5. Inoue R. 6. Miyahara K. 40. Arai Y. 17. Inami T. 10. Morita K. (C) 35. Tanabe S. 8. Saito K. 27. Shirai R. 45. Teranuma S.
Substitutes
32. Hayashi S. 17. Ito T. 38. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 24. Miyagi T. 16. Ozeki Y. 5. Sasaki A. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 22. Uremovic F.	23. Fukazawa D. 16. Hirakawa R. 25. Kumatoriya I. 36. Matsuda R. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 31. Mawatari H. (G) 24. Nakayama S. 9. Someno I. 13. Yamada G.
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Hiroshi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Teranuma S. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
61', Arai Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
61', Shirai R. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
68', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
70', Saito K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Wakizaka Y. ⚽, Romanic L. (A),
76', Yamahara R. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
76', Romanic L. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
77', Inami T. ↓, Yamada G. ↑,
89', Osa R. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
89', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2.

Recent performances by Kawasaki have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tokyo Verdy is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tokyo Verdy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kawasaki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Yellow Cards) Ozeki Y. (Ankle Injury) Taniguchi H. (Hamstring Injury) Yamaichi S. (Illness)

There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Matheus (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kawasaki Frontale: 6.04% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.08%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Tokyo Verdy - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
02.05.26	Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
03.05.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tokyo Verdy - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 penalties ✺
04.04.26	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2
29.06.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0
20.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:0
30.11.24	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	4:5
20.04.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:1

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