Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tokyo Verdy		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.00	2.25	Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.25
	3.10	3.15	2.28	Watch
	3.31	3.25	2.37
	3.28	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.20	2.25
	3.43	3.03	2.32	Watch
	3.20	3.15	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.27)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
28.8%

Draw
30.1%

Kawasaki Frontale
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

29.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	60%	30%

Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 4. Hayashi N. (C) 6. Miyahara K. 22. Uchida Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 20. Meshino S. 18. Mizoguchi S. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 4. Pedro Romano 3. Taniguchi H. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 18. Konno K. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 17. Ito T. 20. Mochiyama K.
Substitutes
40. Arai Y. 5. Inoue R. 25. Kumatoriya I. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 24. Nakayama S. 29. Sako M. 27. Shirai R. 45. Teranuma S. 28. Yamamoto J.	19. Kawahara S. 23. Marcinho 24. Miyagi T. 34. Osa R. 16. Ozeki Y. 9. Romanic L. 5. Sasaki A. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 22. Uremovic F.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, Mizoguchi S. ⚽, Someno I. (A),
61', Mochiyama K. ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
61', Konno K. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
64', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Nakayama S. ↑,
64', Suzuki K. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
68', Ito T. 🟨,
73', Meshino S. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
76', Tachibanada K. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
76', Miura S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
80', Fukuda Y. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
80', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
86', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Romanic L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.

Kawasaki could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamami H. (Knee Injury) Yoshida T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kawasaki: Ienaga A. (Calf Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Calf Injury) Yamaichi S. (Illness)

There are questionable in Kawasaki: Yamamoto Y. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kawasaki Frontale: 6.04% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo Verdy - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 27.12%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.83%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Tokyo Verdy - Gamba Osaka	2:4 ✺
30.05.26	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:6 ✺
16.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLWL
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Kawasaki Frontale	1:3 ✺
17.05.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia	2:1 penalties ✺
10.05.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.05.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	1:0
18.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2
29.06.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0
20.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:0
30.11.24	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	4:5
20.04.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:1

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