Match Info

J1 League - Round 3

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tokyo		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.50	5.75	Watch
	1.50	4.33	5.75
	1.55	3.95	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.5	6.13
	1.57	4.16	5.66	Watch
	1.52	4.4	6.05
	1.55	4.3	5.94	Watch
	1.52	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	4.32 ↑ (4.15)	5.82 ↓ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo
61.9%

Draw
21.9%

JEF United Chiba
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Tokyo - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). JEF United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 4. Inamura H. 22. Ishihara H. 10. Sato K. 18. Hashimoto K. 8. Ko T. 19. Homma S. 26. Nagakura M. 9. Marcelo Ryan	19. Suarez J. (G) 39. Ishio R. 66. Hall D. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 7. Tanaka K. 4. Taguchi T. (C) 25. Matheus Indio 8. Tsukui T. 20. Ishikawa D. 99. Erison
Substitutes
7. Anzai S. 6. Bangnagande K. 25. Kominato T. 3. Morishige M. 39. Nakagawa T. 15. Omori R. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 27. Tokiwa K. 71. Yamada F.	6. Eduardo 9. Goya H. 37. Himeno M. 22. Iida T. 5. Kobayashi Y. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 24. Toriumi K. 14. Tsubaki N. 29. Yamura K.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Homma S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', Tanaka K. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
66', Hidaka M. ↓, Iida T. ↑,
67', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
67', Homma S. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Ko T. ⚽,
79', Taguchi T. ↓, Eduardo ↑,
79', Tsukui T. ↓, Tsubaki N. ↑,
79', Ishihara H. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
79', Inamura H. ↓, Morishige M. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Anzai S. ⚽, Nakagawa T. (A),
86', Matheus Indio ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
88', Ko T. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Tokyo is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Tokyo: Hashimoto K. (Red Card) Otani D. C. (Foot Injury) Vallys N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in JEF United: Ueda Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in JEF United: Taguchi T. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

FC Tokyo: 11.22% Chiba: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7
20	Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Tokyo - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLT
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - JEF United Chiba	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.05.26	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	0:3
18.03.26	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ET

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