Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Kursad Filiz M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	Keçiörengücü		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3.39	3.38	2.11	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.35	3.32	2.07
	3.3	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	2.1 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
28.1%

Draw
27.9%

Kocaelispor
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Ucar M. (G) 19. Yildiz U. 44. Caulker S. 15. Sengul A. 73. Lus S. 6. Develi E. 7. Abazaj K. 95. Traore A. 16. Ayaydin O. 11. Dere A. 55. Diouf M.	35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Cinan M. 15. Serbest T. 17. Caglayan O. 8. Celik C. 6. Pedrinho 20. Mendes R. 10. Marcao
Substitutes
22. Ayan H. 12. Bitin G. 5. Caliskan O. 14. Camara M. 10. Dembele P. M. 36. Nahirci O. 8. Rroca E. 18. Satilmis E. (G) 28. Togui W.	70. Alici B. 7. Beridze G. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 4. Vukovic J. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Sozeri E.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Develi E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ayaydin O. ↓, Rroca E. ↑,
46', Abazaj K. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
52', Sengul A. 🟨,
64', Marcao ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
66', Lus S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
75', Pedrinho ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
75', Caglayan O. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
80', Yildiz U. ↓, Nahirci O. ↑,
80', Traore A. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
86', Celik C. ↓, Vukovic J. ↑,
89', Serbest T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Keçiörengücü could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kocaelispor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
04.01.25	Ankaragücü - Keçiörengücü	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	1:4 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLWW
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
Turkish First League
03.01.25	Kocaelispor - Igdirspor	3:0 ✺
22.12.24	Boluspor - Kocaelispor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Çorluspor - Kocaelispor	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Kocaelispor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.02.24	Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor	2:2
01.10.23	Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü	3:0
04.03.22	Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü	1:0
17.10.21	Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor	0:1
Turkish Cup
25.11.20	Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor	1:2 ET

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