The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kelty Hearts 44.8%
Draw 26.7%
Forfar Athletic 28.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
25.1%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
24.4%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kelty Hearts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Kelty Hearts - Forfar Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 22. Flatman Z. 5. Flatman C. 25. Walker G. 3. Hannah C. 23. Moore L. 26. Cunningham R. (C) 14. Hislop J. 17. Falconer M. 10. Murray I. 9. Higginbotham K.
31. Simpson T. (G) 18. Wilson C. 4. Wyllie J. 5. Allan M. 14. Mailer A. (C) 20. Haddow A. 19. Crombie E. 24. Hickey R. 26. Syme M. 9. Shepherd S. 22. Perrie L.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 35. Brydon J. 16. Falconer T. 6. Ferguson A. 18. Lawson N. 7. Moffett F. 29. Shanley R.
12. Alston B. 16. Arnott A. 2. Lynas A. 7. MacLean R. 10. Rennie M. 8. Slater C. 21. Stafford N. (G) 25. Whatley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Flatman Z. ⚽, Cunningham R. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Shepherd S. ⚽, Perrie L. (A),
31', Flatman C. 🟨,
43', Falconer M. 🟨,
44', Hannah C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Murray I. ⚽, Hislop J. (A),
58', Falconer M. ↓, Ferguson A. ↑,
58', Hickey R. ↓, Alston B. ↑,
58', Shepherd S. ↓, MacLean R. ↑,
61', Murray I. 🟨,
63', Higginbotham K. ↓, Shanley R. ↑,
63', Haddow A. ↓, Rennie M. ↑,
70', Hislop J. ↓, Moffett F. ↑,
70', Flatman Z. ↓, Brydon J. ↑,
83', Syme M. ↓, Slater C. ↑,
88', Ferguson A. 🟨,
90+3', Walker G. 🟥,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Kelty Hearts is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kelty Hearts has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kelty Hearts against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Kelty Hearts
11
5
0
6
16:21
-5
15
9
Forfar Athletic
11
3
2
6
11:19
-8
11
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Kelty Hearts: 8.41% Forfar Athletic: 1.87%
Last Results with these Odds
Forfar Athletic - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 25.46%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Smith J. (G) 
Walker G. 
Higginbotham K. 
Moffett F. 
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