Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 6

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: K-Park Training Academy (East Kilbride) 🌤️ ...


	East Kilbride		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	5.75
	1.40	4.60	5.50
	1.32	5.35	6.6
	1.33	5.4	7.21
	1.35	5.4	6.9	Watch
	1.3	5.1	7.1
	1.37	5.48	6
	1.32	5.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)	5.25 ↑ (4.53)	6.43 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

East Kilbride
68.3%

Draw
17.4%

Kelty Hearts
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

19.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in East Kilbride's performance.

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kelty Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with East Kilbride that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

East Kilbride - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, McGuffie C. ⚽, McGrattan L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Murray I. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, McGrattan L. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The betting markets point to East Kilbride as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, East Kilbride has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for East Kilbride against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	East Kilbride	6	4	1	1	19:13	6	13
22	Kelty Hearts	6	3	0	3	15:15	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

East Kilbride - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.15%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League One
10.10.26	East Kilbride - Airdrieonians	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	East Fife - East Kilbride	0:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Stranraer - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
22.09.26	East Kilbride - Celtic B	3:3 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Alloa Athletic - East Kilbride	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLTW
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League Two
10.10.26	Stirling Albion - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Spartans - Kelty Hearts	0:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Kelty Hearts - Hearts B	3:5 ✺
Scottish League Two
19.09.26	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.06.26	East Kilbride - Kelty Hearts	4:0
Scottish Lowland League
07.11.20	Kelty Hearts - East Kilbride	1:0
07.12.19	Kelty Hearts - East Kilbride	1:0

Upcoming Matches